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15<br />

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Chapter 1 Case Study: Fukushima<br />

1. Pravettoni, R. Number of Disasters per Year<br />

(UNEP/GRID-Arendal, 2012). Available at<br />

http://www.grida.no/graphicslib/detail/numberof-disasters-per-year_<strong>14</strong>08.<br />

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Environmental Policy and Law 43, 226-227<br />

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Fukushima Nuclear Disaster. Asian Perspective<br />

37, 523-549 (2013); Eisler, R. The Fukushima<br />

2011 Disaster 73-89 (London and New York,<br />

CRC Press, 2013).<br />

4. For further discussion of the points<br />

summarized in this paragraph, see Yokoyama<br />

2013: 226-233.<br />

5. Srinivasan, T. N. and Gopi Rethinaraj, T.S.<br />

Fukushima and Thereafter: Reassessment of<br />

Risks of Nuclear Power. Energy Policy 52,<br />

733-735 (2013); Thomas, S. What will the<br />

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12-17 (2012); Kersten, J., Uekoetter, F. and<br />

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RCC Perspectives 1 (2012).<br />

6. McCurry, J. Naoto Kan Resigns as Japan’s<br />

Prime Minister. The Guardian 26 August 2011.<br />

Available at http://www.theguardian.com/<br />

world/2011/aug/26/naoto-kan-resigns-japanpm<br />

Chapter 2: Future Global Trends in<br />

Innovation<br />

1. Goldin, I. and Mariathasan, M. (20<strong>14</strong>) The<br />

Butterfly Defect: How Globalization Creates<br />

Systemic Risks, and What to Do about It,<br />

Princeton: Princeton University Press, Chapter<br />

7.<br />

2. US National Science Foundation (2012)<br />

‘Science and Engineering Beyond Moore’s Law’;<br />

see also author’s discussions with the Future<br />

of Computing Programme in the Oxford<br />

Martin School, University of Oxford. Gordon<br />

Moore did not suggest that the trend would<br />

continue over decades, and would have been<br />

surprised by the longevity of his predictions.<br />

3. Manyika, J. et al. (2013) ‘Disruptive<br />

Technologies: Advances that Will Transform<br />

Life, Business, and the Global Economy’,<br />

McKinsey Global Institute.<br />

4. Ibid., p. 29.<br />

5. UN (2013) ‘Deputy UN Chief Calls for Urgent<br />

Action to Tackle Global Sanitation Crisis’, UN<br />

News Centre.<br />

6. Simons, B. (2012) ‘Africa’s True Mobile<br />

Revolution Has Yet to Start’, Harvard Business<br />

Review Blog Network.<br />

7. The Economist (2012) ‘The Bank of SMS’,<br />

quoting a survey conducted by the Gates<br />

Foundation, the World Bank and Gallup.<br />

8. International Data Corporation (2010) ‘ICT<br />

Outlook: Recovering into a New World’.<br />

9. Markoff, J. (2012) ‘Skilled Work, Without the<br />

Worker’, The New York Times.<br />

10. Manyika, J. et al. (2013).<br />

11. Frey, C and Osborne, M. (20<strong>14</strong>) ‘The Future<br />

of Employment: How susceptible are jobs to<br />

computerisation?’ Oxford Martin School Working<br />

Paper.<br />

12. Morse, E. et al. (2012) ‘Energy 2020: North<br />

America, the New Middle East?’ Citi GPS.<br />

13. WTO (2008) ‘World Trade Report 2008: Trade<br />

in a Globalizing World’, p. 15.<br />

<strong>14</strong>. UNCTAD (2012) ‘Twenty years of India’s<br />

Liberalization: Experiences and Lessons’.<br />

15. See Oxford Martin School (2013) ‘Now for<br />

the Long Term’, Oxford Martin Commission<br />

for Future Generations.<br />

16. The GAVI Alliance. ‘Disbursement by Country’,<br />

available at http://www.gavialliance.org/results/<br />

disbursements/ (last accessed 22 June 20<strong>14</strong>);<br />

The Global Fund, ‘One Million Lives are Saved<br />

Every Year’, available at http://onemillion.<br />

theglobalfund.org/pages/mission (last accessed<br />

22 June 20<strong>14</strong>).<br />

17. Ernst and Young (2011) ‘Tracking Global<br />

Trends: How Six Key Developments are<br />

Shaping the Business World’.<br />

18. ILO (2010) ‘International Labour Migration: A<br />

Rights-Based Approach’, p. 15.<br />

19. UNFPA (2007) “Urbanization: A Majority in<br />

Cities”, http://www.unfpa.org/pds/urbanization.<br />

htm (accessed 22 June 20<strong>14</strong>).<br />

20. Goldin, I., Cameron, G. and Balarajan, M. (2011)<br />

Exceptional People: How Migration Shaped Our<br />

World and Will Define Our Future, Princeton:<br />

Princeton University Press, pp. 165-6.<br />

21. Ortega, F. and Peri, G. (2009) ‘The causes and<br />

effects of international migrations: <strong>evidence</strong><br />

from OECD countries 1980-2005’, NBER<br />

Working Paper No. <strong>14</strong>833.<br />

22. Citi Research (2013) ‘Is Immigration the<br />

Antidote to Ageing Demographics in the<br />

Advanced Economies?’<br />

23. Goldin, I. et al. (2011), p. 168.<br />

24. Kerr, W. and Lincoln, W. (2010) ‘The Supply<br />

Side of Innovation: H-1B Visa Reforms and U.S.<br />

Ethnic Invention’, Journal of Labor Economics 28,<br />

no. 3.<br />

25. UNESCO (2012) ‘Youth and Skills: Putting<br />

Education to Work’, EFA Global Monitoring<br />

Report, p. 8.<br />

26. World Bank (2013) ‘The State of Education’,<br />

available at http://datatopics.worldbank.org/<br />

education/wStateEdu/StateEducation.aspx (last<br />

accessed 20 June 20<strong>14</strong>).<br />

27. Ibid.<br />

28. Gibney, E. (2013) ‘A different world’, The Times<br />

Higher Education.<br />

29. OECD (2013) ‘How many students study<br />

abroad and where do they go?’ Education at a<br />

Glance 2013: Highlights.<br />

30. Kasprowicz, P. and Rhyne, E. (2013) ‘Looking<br />

Through the Demographic Window:<br />

Implications for Financial Inclusion’, Centre for<br />

the Study of Financial Inclusion, Publication 18.<br />

31. Wuestner, C. (2012) ‘BMW Finds New<br />

Ways to Improve Productivity with Aging<br />

Workforce’, Bloomberg.<br />

32. Pricewaterhouse Coopers (2010) ‘New<br />

Release: Shift in World Economic Power<br />

means a decade of seismic change’.<br />

33. This section draws on Goldin, I. and<br />

Mariathasan, M. (20<strong>14</strong>) The Butterfly Defect:<br />

How Globalization Creates Systemic Risks, and<br />

What to Do about It, Princeton: Princeton<br />

University Press.<br />

34. Ibid.<br />

35. Dattels, P. and Kodres, L. (2009) ‘Further<br />

Action Needed to Reinforce Signs of Market<br />

Recovery: IMF’, IMF Survey Magazine: IMF<br />

Research.<br />

36. Oxford Economics (2010) ‘The Economic<br />

Impacts of Air Travel Restrictions Due to<br />

Volcanic Ash’.<br />

37. Ibid., p. 2.<br />

38. Davis, J. (2007) ‘Hackers Take Down the Most<br />

Wired Country in Europe’, Wired Magazine 15,<br />

no. 9.<br />

39. Belson, K. (2008) ‘‘03 Blackout Is Recalled,<br />

Amid Lessons Learned’, The New York Times.<br />

40. Korea Net (2013) ‘Overview’, available at<br />

http://www.korea.net/AboutKorea/Economy/<br />

Overview (last accessed 22 June 20<strong>14</strong>).

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