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14-1190b-innovation-managing-risk-evidence

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THE NGO PERSPECTIVE<br />

Harry Huyton (Royal Society for the Protection of Birds)<br />

In March 20<strong>14</strong>, the Royal Society for the Protection of<br />

Birds (RSPB) published a review of the ecological <strong>risk</strong>s<br />

associated with hydraulic fracturing for shale gas in the<br />

United Kingdom, along with a number of recommendations<br />

to address these <strong>risk</strong>s. The review was based on literature<br />

principally concerned with hydraulic fracturing in the<br />

United States, which we interpreted and applied to the UK<br />

situation.<br />

The key <strong>risk</strong>s to the natural environment that we<br />

highlighted were: water demand in areas under water<br />

stress, causing low river flows; water contamination as a<br />

result of well-casing failures and surface spillages; pollution<br />

incidents as a result of waste handling and disposal; and<br />

the loss, fragmentation and disturbance of wildlife habitats.<br />

All of these <strong>risk</strong>s increase significantly at the commercial<br />

extraction phase, but they are manageable if an effective<br />

policy and regulatory framework is put in place.<br />

Crucially, we also argued that this framework should be<br />

precautionary, given that the environmental impacts of the<br />

industry in the United States have been poorly studied, and<br />

because the geological and environmental conditions in<br />

the United Kingdom are quite different. Our assessment is<br />

that we do not currently have an effective and sufficiently<br />

precautionary framework.<br />

It has been a source of frustration that the public and<br />

political debate about fracking in the United Kingdom has<br />

become so polarized that a discussion about <strong>risk</strong>s and<br />

responses has been effectively impossible.<br />

The scope and approach taken by the Strategic<br />

Environmental Assessment (SEA) of the current licensing<br />

round for onshore oil and gas illustrates this. An SEA<br />

is an important policy tool that theoretically allows the<br />

environmental impacts of a plan or programme (and its<br />

alternatives) to be assessed, and improvements or mitigating<br />

measures to be identified and recommended. In practice<br />

they have too often become bureaucratic exercises that<br />

have little bearing on the policy, and this SEA was no<br />

exception.<br />

For example, no meaningful lower-<strong>risk</strong> alternatives were<br />

assessed. In fact, one alternative — reducing the licensing<br />

area by screening out the most ecologically vulnerable<br />

sites — was explicitly rejected on the grounds that it went<br />

against the overarching aim of “comprehensive exploration<br />

and appraisal of UK oil and gas resources and the economic<br />

development of identified reserves”. In effect, any response<br />

to environmental <strong>risk</strong>s that result in any restriction on the<br />

industry was ruled out from the start.<br />

The public cares deeply about the countryside and<br />

the wildlife that we share it with. That means they<br />

expect government to be diligent and precautionary in<br />

understanding and addressing <strong>risk</strong>s, through open and<br />

responsible debate and by applying tools like SEA. If <strong>risk</strong>s<br />

are instead downplayed, branded as myths or simply ignored,<br />

the opportunity for <strong>evidence</strong>-based debate and progress by<br />

mutual consent is quickly lost.<br />

The public and political<br />

debate about fracking in<br />

the United Kingdom has<br />

become so polarized that<br />

a discussion about <strong>risk</strong>s<br />

and responses has been<br />

effectively impossible.<br />

81

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