14-1190b-innovation-managing-risk-evidence

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CONTENTS SECTION 1: INNOVATION AND RISK 1. Innovation, Risk And Government: Perspectives And Principles From The Social Sciences (pg. 13) 2. Future Global Trends In Innovation (pg. 25) 3. A Recent Chronology Of Public Risk Management In Government (pg. 35) SECTION 2: MAKING CHOICES IN THE FACE OF UNCERTAINTY 4. Making Choices In The Face Of Uncertainty: Strengthening Innovation Democracy (pg. 49) 5. Holding A Wider Conversation (pg. 63) 6. The Need For A Common Language (pg. 71) SECTION 3: FRAMING RISK – THE HUMAN ELEMENT 7. How People Estimate Risks In Everyday Life (pg. 87) 8. Perceptions Of Risk (pg. 93) SECTION 4: CONTEXT AND FUTURES 9. Context Matters To Human Perception And Response (pg. 107) 10. Managing Existential Risk From Emerging Technologies (pg. 115) 5 SECTION 5: MOVING THINGS FORWARD – GOVERNANCE AND DECISION-MAKING 11. Bringing It All Together (pg. 129) 12. Ultimately A Decision Has To Be Made (pg. 137) ANNEX: INTERNATIONAL CONTRIBUTIONS (pg. <strong>14</strong>5) REFERENCES (pg. 156)
Page 1 and 2: INNOVATION: MANAGING RISK, NOT AVOI
Page 3: FOREWORD Advances in science and te
Page 7 and 8: CASE STUDY AUTHORS High Level Case
Page 10 and 11: SECTION 1: INNOVATION AND RISK Inno
Page 13 and 14: Rodney Boyd, Reuben Finighan, Fergu
Page 15 and 16: to work may not be individually ori
Page 17 and 18: CASE STUDY FUKUSHIMA Anthony Carrig
Page 19 and 20: esearch done by firms tends to be p
Page 21 and 22: energy R&D by oil importing nations
Page 23 and 24: institutions. It should be interpre
Page 25 and 26: Ian Goldin (Director of the Oxford
Page 27 and 28: market 5 . The African continent ha
Page 29 and 30: nanotechnology and biotechnology. D
Page 31 and 32: pensions, a surge in health care co
Page 33 and 34: contained. The depth of our interco
Page 35 and 36: Simon Pollard and Sophie Rocks (Cra
Page 37 and 38: has necessitated a combination of e
Page 39 and 40: promoted by the Better Regulation T
Page 41 and 42: CASE STUDY FINANCIAL CRISIS Tom Sor
Page 43 and 44: Lionel Clarke (UK Synthetic Biology
Page 45 and 46: performance standards. The successf
Page 47: Sciencewise has guided 17 experimen
Page 50 and 51: 50 Innovation is not just about tec
Page 52 and 53: CASE STUDY NEONICOTINOID INSECTICID
Page 54 and 55:
CASE STUDY NANOMATERIALS Kamal Hoss
Page 56 and 57:
56 strategies also inherently depen
Page 58 and 59:
58 of innovations that were systema
Page 60 and 61:
60 action inhibiting any one innova
Page 62 and 63:
62 the most powerful — taking mor
Page 64 and 65:
64 Science has forever been a refle
Page 66 and 67:
66 social learning. This places muc
Page 68 and 69:
68 knowledge across disciplines and
Page 70 and 71:
70 approach that brings to the fore
Page 72 and 73:
72 It is difficult to face up to th
Page 74 and 75:
CASE STUDY ADAPTING REGULATION TO C
Page 76 and 77:
depend only on the scientific uncer
Page 78 and 79:
FIGURE 1 Assessments by internation
Page 80 and 81:
80 THE INDUSTRY PERSPECTIVE Steve E
Page 82:
THE SCIENCE AND ENGINEERING PERSPEC
Page 85:
61% 83% One of the most effective e
Page 88 and 89:
When professional scientists, insur
Page 90 and 91:
Loewenstein observed that in the Un
Page 92 and 93:
CASE STUDY AUM SHINRIKYO AND THE MO
Page 94 and 95:
94 Although philosophers and social
Page 96 and 97:
Similarly, a recent report for the
Page 98 and 99:
eference to an externally imposed c
Page 100 and 101:
100 substantially higher predictive
Page 102 and 103:
102 THE SOCIAL SCIENCE PERSPECTIVE
Page 104 and 105:
SECTION 4: CONTEXT AND FUTURES Geoe
Page 106 and 107:
106
Page 108 and 109:
108 From Chapter 8, we know that th
Page 110 and 111:
110 headlines about ‘Frankenstein
Page 112 and 113:
CASE STUDY MMR, BOWEL DISEASE, AUTI
Page 114 and 115:
114 people and institutions behave
Page 116 and 117:
116 Historically, the risks that ha
Page 118 and 119:
118 US President John F. Kennedy la
Page 120 and 121:
120 progress in AI had probabilitie
Page 122 and 123:
122 THE SCIENTIST’S PERSPECTIVE J
Page 124 and 125:
124 Convention on Climate Change Co
Page 126 and 127:
SECTION 5: MOVING THINGS FORWARD
Page 128 and 129:
128
Page 130 and 131:
130 Risk and innovation are contest
Page 132 and 133:
scientists undertaking innovation-r
Page 134 and 135:
CASE STUDY STANDARDS: SUPPORTING EM
Page 136 and 137:
136 accommodate their combined pres
Page 138 and 139:
138 At the end of the day, probably
Page 140 and 141:
140 reproductive process: maternal
Page 142 and 143:
142 questionnaire. Responses made v
Page 144 and 145:
144
Page 146 and 147:
146 HOW TO BUILD REGULATORY FRAMEWO
Page 148 and 149:
148 decided to continue the debate
Page 150 and 151:
150 3.2. Public debate: a tool to b
Page 152 and 153:
RISK AND PRECAUTION 152 The precaut
Page 154 and 155:
154 regulation of the development o
Page 156 and 157:
156 REFERENCES Chapter 1: Innovatio
Page 158 and 159:
15 National Research Council [US],
Page 160 and 161:
160 Paris available at: http://www.
Page 162 and 163:
162 Pessimistic Theory of “ Clien
Page 164 and 165:
164 precautionary principle. Annand
Page 166 and 167:
166 food.gov.uk/enforcement/monitor
Page 168 and 169:
168 27. Bickerstaffe, K. & Walker,
Page 170 and 171:
170 Peacock, W. J. and Dennis, E. S
Page 172:
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