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14-1190b-innovation-managing-risk-evidence

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domain of biosecurity <strong>risk</strong>s. In the autumn of 2013, when it<br />

became clear that ash trees were vulnerable to the spread<br />

of the Chalara fraxinea pathogen to the United Kingdom,<br />

government and society alike did not anticipate the strong<br />

media and political focus on the issue that would follow.<br />

Pidgeon and Barnett have documented how a range of<br />

cultural and institutional factors underlay this controversy 37 .<br />

Climate change, on the other hand, has long been recognized<br />

to be an ‘attenuated’ hazard 38 , a <strong>risk</strong> where people are often<br />

resistant to the scientific <strong>evidence</strong> of its gravity precisely<br />

because many of the proposed solutions will threaten some<br />

of our most deeply held values regarding the relationship<br />

between society, lifestyles and economic growth. This again<br />

of creating multi-stakeholder scenarios — stories<br />

about the future that bring together different actors<br />

and decision-makers with diverse perspectives and<br />

expertise. Part of the answer may lie in rethinking our<br />

approach to narrative in this context. For effective<br />

public engagement we need not just one, but many,<br />

simultaneous story-tellings, told not just once, but<br />

many times.<br />

We tend to trust people<br />

who share our values or<br />

are members of our own<br />

social group, especially<br />

when information about<br />

a <strong>risk</strong> is either uncertain<br />

or sparse.<br />

points to the importance of constructing the right narratives<br />

about <strong>risk</strong> to address such deep-seated value-based and<br />

identity issues (see case study on climate change).<br />

Risk Perception and Trust<br />

The past 20 years have seen a surge in interest in the<br />

role of trust in people’s responses to environmental and<br />

technological <strong>risk</strong>s, from both the academic and policy<br />

community. In Europe, the crisis over bovine spongiform<br />

encephalopathy (BSE) in particular was seen as an event<br />

that reduced public trust in <strong>risk</strong> management processes.<br />

Accordingly, rebuilding trust in the science policy<br />

process through processes of public engagement and<br />

transparency has been a core policy objective of public <strong>risk</strong><br />

communication and stakeholder engagement processes 39 .<br />

The question of trust and <strong>risk</strong> perception is not a new<br />

one, however. As early as 1980, the sociologist Brian<br />

Wynne 40 argued that differences between expert and lay<br />

views of <strong>risk</strong> might depend upon the public’s evaluation<br />

of the trustworthiness of <strong>risk</strong> management, and of the<br />

authorities to act both in the public interest and with regard<br />

to best possible technical standards and practice. And<br />

indeed one interpretation to be placed upon several of the<br />

qualitative dimensions of <strong>risk</strong> identified in the psychometric<br />

studies (for example, control over <strong>risk</strong>, equity of impacts,<br />

whether a <strong>risk</strong> is known to science etc.) is that they tap<br />

more fundamental value concerns about the institutional<br />

processes of hazard management. Such concerns are not<br />

strictly divorced from the hazard process itself, either.<br />

We have to trust <strong>risk</strong> management and managers to keep<br />

modern <strong>risk</strong>s (transportation, energy systems, environmental<br />

stressors) within acceptable bounds, and any <strong>evidence</strong> of a<br />

failure to fulfil such a duty means that the <strong>risk</strong> might indeed<br />

be more serious than we thought.<br />

Survey studies have repeatedly shown that trust in <strong>risk</strong><br />

<strong>managing</strong> institutions is positively correlated with the<br />

acceptability of various technological and environmental<br />

<strong>risk</strong>s. For example, with the exception of gender (see above),<br />

most socio-demographic and ideological variables are only<br />

weakly related to concern about a potential nuclear waste<br />

repository or nuclear power, while trust variables have<br />

99

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