21.11.2012 Views

Wireless Future - Telenor

Wireless Future - Telenor

Wireless Future - Telenor

SHOW MORE
SHOW LESS

Create successful ePaper yourself

Turn your PDF publications into a flip-book with our unique Google optimized e-Paper software.

ies continued in the ACTS programme with the<br />

SAMBA project, and a new and better demonstrator<br />

was built and shown during the EXPO’98<br />

in Lisbon [7]. We can conclude that MBS is a<br />

4th generation concept, and today no one will<br />

doubt that the bandwidth will be needed and exploited.<br />

There were also other projects in the ACTS programme<br />

which addressed what we could call 4G,<br />

like MEDIAN and WAND. In these projects<br />

high capacity WLANs were studied.<br />

The Drivers towards 4G<br />

It is important to raise the question whether<br />

UMTS will provide the platform for the new<br />

mobile multimedia world. UMTS is undoubtedly<br />

an important step on the way to integrating different<br />

communication needs on a mobile platform.<br />

What are the driving needs for a system beyond<br />

the upcoming 3G (UMTS)? Will the forces be<br />

capacity, meaning traffic per unit area, or will it<br />

be a question of throughput to handle multimedia<br />

services? Are new services coming up which<br />

put new demands on the network other than the<br />

mentioned ones?<br />

The Capacity Question<br />

This seems to be a never ending demand. The<br />

FMC trend will reach the less developed and<br />

very highly populated countries demanding an<br />

even higher capacity. In the Scandinavian countries<br />

all the previous systems have run out of<br />

capacity, perhaps with the exception of GSM<br />

1800 (so far).<br />

The trend is towards a huge future demand for<br />

mobile Internet access. Communications and<br />

broadcasting will merge, and what we get access<br />

to by wire, we also want on the “mobile”.<br />

When work towards 3G started, no-one was able<br />

to see how much the Internet would grow.<br />

million<br />

1800<br />

1600<br />

1400<br />

1200<br />

1000<br />

800<br />

600<br />

400<br />

200<br />

0<br />

90<br />

Telektronikk 1.2001<br />

Cellular mobile subscribers<br />

worldwide (Source: ITU)<br />

So far, the systems have almost only been carrying<br />

voice traffic, however, this will not be the situation<br />

in the 4G time frame. The 3G network<br />

will give a good indication of the evolution from<br />

voice focused services to first generation multimedia<br />

services. It is therefore tempting to look<br />

into the situation in the fixed network as well as<br />

the PC software industry. This can give us a basis<br />

for what is a possible development when we are<br />

looking into future demands. In both cases the<br />

applications are more demanding regarding CPU<br />

power and throughput. The future network, or<br />

networks, must aim to follow the general development,<br />

taking into account the natural properties<br />

and impairments of the radio channel.<br />

Which new types of requirements must be translated<br />

into more general requirements to a 4G<br />

network? Two important key words can be<br />

mobility (services, VHE) and security. To optimize<br />

such a system towards a global market<br />

scalability will also become more important<br />

than today.<br />

What is 4G?<br />

Up to, and mostly including, 3G (UMTS), the<br />

generation steps have been quite distinct, but we<br />

now seem to face more diffuse transitions. It is<br />

clear that we no longer specify a complete system.<br />

0.5<br />

billion<br />

There are three important trends which show that even more efficient<br />

and flexible technologies must be developed:<br />

1. The number of cellular subscribers world-wide is growing exponentially.<br />

• In 2000 there were more than 500 million subscribers world-wide. The number<br />

is expected to pass 1 billion in 2005. At the same time, the number of<br />

mobile subscribers is expected to outnumber the fixed connections.<br />

2. The number of Internet connections is growing exponentially.<br />

3. The sale of wireless LAN solutions is growing significantly.<br />

1.5<br />

billion<br />

91 92 93 94 95 96 97 98 9 0<br />

Year<br />

01 02 03 04 05 06 07 08 09 10<br />

Figure 3 Projected cellular<br />

growth [8]<br />

5

Hooray! Your file is uploaded and ready to be published.

Saved successfully!

Ooh no, something went wrong!