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Trade Adjustment Costs in Developing Countries: - World Bank ...

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1<strong>Trade</strong> <strong>Adjustment</strong> <strong>Costs</strong> <strong>in</strong>Develop<strong>in</strong>g <strong>Countries</strong>:Impacts, Determ<strong>in</strong>antsand Policy ResponsesBERNARD HOEKMAN AND GUIDO PORTOIntegration <strong>in</strong>to the global economy offers an enormous opportunity for reduc<strong>in</strong>gpoverty, hunger, and economic <strong>in</strong>justice. Increas<strong>in</strong>g competition on thedomestic market, thus lower<strong>in</strong>g prices and <strong>in</strong>creas<strong>in</strong>g choices for consumers andimprov<strong>in</strong>g access to new knowledge, products and technologies, generatespotential sources of aggregate efficiency ga<strong>in</strong>s. The ga<strong>in</strong>s from trade openness arenot guaranteed, however. They are conditional on various factors, such as a sound<strong>in</strong>vestment climate (Freund and Bolaky, 2008), a sufficiently large “absorptivecapacity” (e.g., human capital) to capture the spillover benefits from trade (Keller,1996; Borenszte<strong>in</strong>, De Gregorio and Lee, 1998), and an absence of major domesticdistortions (Bhagwati, 1971; Krishna, this volume) such as credit constra<strong>in</strong>ts(Chesnokova, 2007; Manova, this volume).Globalization also generates costs. <strong>Trade</strong> liberalization will result <strong>in</strong> a re-allocationof factors of production with<strong>in</strong> and between firms and sectors. This is thesource of the efficiency improvements that underp<strong>in</strong> the ga<strong>in</strong>s from trade, but it alsobr<strong>in</strong>gs with it adjustment costs. There are w<strong>in</strong>ners and losers. This distributionalconflict is dynamic — the transition to a more open trade situation can be hazardousto both losers and w<strong>in</strong>ners. How agents adjust to take full advantage of thenew trad<strong>in</strong>g opportunities, what they do to ease the burden of adjust<strong>in</strong>g to reforms,and the factors that drive the adjustment are questions to which only limited attentionhas been devoted by trade economists. Attenuat<strong>in</strong>g the negative effects of<strong>in</strong>tegration for disadvantaged groups is an important task for governments. In pr<strong>in</strong>ciple,the ga<strong>in</strong>s from trade generate the resources that can be used by governmentsto do so. The design of public policies to facilitate the transition and smooth the adjustmentprocess needs to be <strong>in</strong>formed by an understand<strong>in</strong>g of the impacts of tradereforms and the responses by firms, workers and households.The goal of this book is to summarize the state of knowledge <strong>in</strong> the economicliterature on trade and development regard<strong>in</strong>g the costs of adjustment to tradeopenness and how adjustment takes place <strong>in</strong> develop<strong>in</strong>g countries. The book com-

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