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Trade Adjustment Costs in Developing Countries: - World Bank ...

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New Kids on the Block 233spondents who were asked about telecommunications. The correspond<strong>in</strong>g figuresfor the effect on service availability ranged from 47 percent <strong>in</strong> account<strong>in</strong>g andaudit<strong>in</strong>g to 80 percent <strong>in</strong> telecommunications (Arnold et al. 2007).Arnold et al. (2007) formally exam<strong>in</strong>ed the l<strong>in</strong>k between FDI <strong>in</strong> services and theperformance of domestic firms <strong>in</strong> downstream manufactur<strong>in</strong>g. Us<strong>in</strong>g firm-leveldata from the Czech Republic for 1998–2003, they measure the presence of FDI<strong>in</strong> services by the share of services output provided by foreign affiliates. Themanufactur<strong>in</strong>g–services l<strong>in</strong>kage is captured us<strong>in</strong>g <strong>in</strong>formation on the degree towhich manufactur<strong>in</strong>g firms rely on <strong>in</strong>termediate <strong>in</strong>puts from service <strong>in</strong>dustries.The econometric results <strong>in</strong>dicate that open<strong>in</strong>g services to foreign providers leadsto improved performance of downstream manufactur<strong>in</strong>g sectors. This f<strong>in</strong>d<strong>in</strong>g isrobust to several econometric specifications, <strong>in</strong>clud<strong>in</strong>g controll<strong>in</strong>g for unobservablefirm heterogeneity and other aspects of openness, and <strong>in</strong>strument<strong>in</strong>g for theextent of foreign presence <strong>in</strong> service <strong>in</strong>dustries. The magnitude of the effect iseconomically mean<strong>in</strong>gful: a one standard deviation <strong>in</strong>crease <strong>in</strong> foreign presence<strong>in</strong> service <strong>in</strong>dustries is associated with a 3.8 percent <strong>in</strong>crease <strong>in</strong> the productivityof manufactur<strong>in</strong>g firms rely<strong>in</strong>g on service <strong>in</strong>puts.FDI <strong>in</strong>flows <strong>in</strong>to services, and more specifically <strong>in</strong>to the wholesale and retailsector, may also lead to <strong>in</strong>creased competition <strong>in</strong> the manufactur<strong>in</strong>g <strong>in</strong>dustries ofa host country. Global retail cha<strong>in</strong>s with their extensive supplier networks spann<strong>in</strong>gmultiple countries, if not cont<strong>in</strong>ents, are much better positioned than smallernational cha<strong>in</strong>s to put pressure on <strong>in</strong>digenous suppliers. This view is supportedby the results of a case study of the soap, detergent, and surfactant (SDS) producers<strong>in</strong> Mexico. Accord<strong>in</strong>g to Javorcik et al. (2008), entry of Wal-Mart <strong>in</strong>toMexico changed the way that SDS producers and other suppliers of consumergoods <strong>in</strong>teracted with retailers. By exercis<strong>in</strong>g its barga<strong>in</strong><strong>in</strong>g power, Wal-Martsqueezed profit marg<strong>in</strong>s among the major brands, offer<strong>in</strong>g them higher volumes<strong>in</strong> return. It also engaged the most efficient small-scale local producers as suppliersof store brands, thereby creat<strong>in</strong>g for itself a residual source of SDS productsthat could be used <strong>in</strong> barga<strong>in</strong><strong>in</strong>g with the major (mult<strong>in</strong>ational) brandedsuppliers. Those local firms that were not efficient enough to meet Wal-Mart’sterms lost market share, and many failed. At the same time, the limited set of producersthat survived grew, and with prodd<strong>in</strong>g from Wal-Mart they became moreefficient and <strong>in</strong>novative, adopt<strong>in</strong>g <strong>in</strong>novations first <strong>in</strong>troduced to the market bytheir mult<strong>in</strong>ational competitors.This view f<strong>in</strong>ds further support <strong>in</strong> the results of Javorcik and Li (2009) who exam<strong>in</strong>ehow the presence of global retail cha<strong>in</strong>s affects firms <strong>in</strong> the supply<strong>in</strong>g <strong>in</strong>dustries<strong>in</strong> Romania. Apply<strong>in</strong>g a difference-<strong>in</strong>-differences method and the<strong>in</strong>strumental variable approach, the authors conclude that expansion of global retailcha<strong>in</strong>s leads to a significant <strong>in</strong>crease <strong>in</strong> the TFP <strong>in</strong> the supply<strong>in</strong>g <strong>in</strong>dustries.Presence of global retail cha<strong>in</strong>s <strong>in</strong> a Romanian region <strong>in</strong>creases the TFP of firms<strong>in</strong> the supply<strong>in</strong>g <strong>in</strong>dustries by 3.8 to 4.7 percent and doubl<strong>in</strong>g the number ofcha<strong>in</strong>s leads to a 3.3 to 3.7 percent <strong>in</strong>crease <strong>in</strong> total factor productivity. However,the expansion benefits larger firms the most and has a much smaller impact onsmall enterprises.

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