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Trade Adjustment Costs in Developing Countries: - World Bank ...

Trade Adjustment Costs in Developing Countries: - World Bank ...

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28Carl Davidson and Steven Matusznew steady state. Because of the simplicity of (1) to (3), closed-form solutions forthe adjustment path are easily derivable. 52.2 General equilibriumTo close out the model, we need to endogenize L 2 (t). To do so, we assume thatworkers are heterogeneous <strong>in</strong> ability, <strong>in</strong>dexed by a [0,1]. We assume that abilityonly matters for the production of good 2. In particular, each worker <strong>in</strong> sector1 can produce q 1 units of output, whereas a worker <strong>in</strong> sector 2 produces q 2 aunits of output. We assume that output markets are perfectly competitive. Comb<strong>in</strong>edwith the assumption that labor is the only <strong>in</strong>put, all revenue reverts to theworker so that wages are w 1 =q 1 and w 2 =pq 2 a where p is the price of good 2 andgood 1 is numeraire.The basic decision that each worker faces is whether to take a job <strong>in</strong> sector 1or start the tra<strong>in</strong><strong>in</strong>g process <strong>in</strong> sector 2. Once this decision is made, the worker iscarried along by the dynamics of the model (either rema<strong>in</strong><strong>in</strong>g employed <strong>in</strong> sector1 or mov<strong>in</strong>g through the tra<strong>in</strong><strong>in</strong>g-search-employment process <strong>in</strong> sector 2),unless some exogenous change causes the worker to reevaluate his choice of activity.In order to decide the appropriate course of action, each worker has to calculatethe present discounted value of the expected utility that would result fromeach activity. Let V 1 represent this value for workers employed <strong>in</strong> sector 1, whileV T , V U , and V E represent the same terms for workers tra<strong>in</strong><strong>in</strong>g, seek<strong>in</strong>g employment,or employed <strong>in</strong> sector 2. Lett<strong>in</strong>g v(w i , p) represent <strong>in</strong>direct utility and ρrepresent the discount rate, the present discounted values for each type of workercan be found by solv<strong>in</strong>g the follow<strong>in</strong>g Bellman equations:In (9), we assume that unemployed workers earn no <strong>in</strong>come. The real resource costof tra<strong>in</strong><strong>in</strong>g is represented by c <strong>in</strong> (10).Because transition rates and wages are both time-<strong>in</strong>variant (except for the possibilityof discrete jumps <strong>in</strong> response to changes <strong>in</strong> policy), these discounted valuesare also time-<strong>in</strong>variant so the time derivatives <strong>in</strong> (7) to (10) are zero.Substitut<strong>in</strong>g for wages, equations (7) to (10) can be solved for discounted <strong>in</strong>comes<strong>in</strong> terms of parameter values. 6 Do<strong>in</strong>g so results <strong>in</strong> an expression for V T that5 See Davidson and Matusz (2002; 2004c) for explicit closed-form solutions to this system of equations.6 For solutions, see Davidson and Matusz (2004c).

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