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Trade Adjustment Costs in Developing Countries: - World Bank ...

Trade Adjustment Costs in Developing Countries: - World Bank ...

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316Kal<strong>in</strong>a Manovahome country. Sunk and fixed trade costs <strong>in</strong>clude learn<strong>in</strong>g about the profitabilityof potential export markets; mak<strong>in</strong>g market-specific <strong>in</strong>vestments <strong>in</strong> capacity,product customization, and regulatory compliance; and sett<strong>in</strong>g up and ma<strong>in</strong>ta<strong>in</strong><strong>in</strong>gforeign distribution networks. The additional variable costs of trade compriseshipp<strong>in</strong>g, freight <strong>in</strong>surance, and applicable trade duties. As with productioncosts, most of these trade expenses may have to be <strong>in</strong>curred before export revenuesare realized.Firms are not always able to meet their liquidity needs with reta<strong>in</strong>ed earn<strong>in</strong>gs orcash flows from operations, and rout<strong>in</strong>ely rely on external f<strong>in</strong>anc<strong>in</strong>g for their productionand export expenditures. This f<strong>in</strong>anc<strong>in</strong>g often comes <strong>in</strong> the form of bankloans or bank-provided trade credit. In addition, private parties on two sides of atransaction may also offer trade credit to each other. For <strong>in</strong>stance, f<strong>in</strong>al-good purchasers(importers) may secure trade f<strong>in</strong>anc<strong>in</strong>g for their suppliers (exporters), andf<strong>in</strong>al-good producers (exporters) may extend trade credit to their <strong>in</strong>termediate <strong>in</strong>putsuppliers. In practice, these types of buyer or supplier trade credit require bankguarantees and ultimately also depend on firms’ access to bank f<strong>in</strong>anc<strong>in</strong>g.In the presence of f<strong>in</strong>ancial frictions—because of imperfect contractibility or alimited pool of available f<strong>in</strong>ancial capital <strong>in</strong> an economy—credit-constra<strong>in</strong>ed firmsmay not be able to become exporters or to export to their full potential. Evidencesuggests that sectors differ greatly <strong>in</strong> their requirement for external f<strong>in</strong>ance andtheir availability of assets that can be collateralized—assets that can be used to securecredit. For these reasons, borrow<strong>in</strong>g constra<strong>in</strong>ts can reduce a country’s aggregateexports and affect their sectoral composition by limit<strong>in</strong>g the <strong>in</strong>vestmentopportunities open to producers with <strong>in</strong>sufficient private capital.The trade and f<strong>in</strong>ance literature has <strong>in</strong>deed documented large economic effectsof credit constra<strong>in</strong>ts on trade. The ma<strong>in</strong> f<strong>in</strong>d<strong>in</strong>g <strong>in</strong> this literature is that f<strong>in</strong>anciallydeveloped countries export greater volumes and a wider range of products to moredest<strong>in</strong>ations. Moreover, these patterns are especially pronounced <strong>in</strong> f<strong>in</strong>ancially vulnerablesectors. Section 2 below reviews this country-level evidence and some recentfirm-level studies. It also presents a useful theoretical framework for th<strong>in</strong>k<strong>in</strong>gabout the role of credit constra<strong>in</strong>ts <strong>in</strong> the context of <strong>in</strong>ternational trade.Most papers on the l<strong>in</strong>k between trade and f<strong>in</strong>ance have focused on the export<strong>in</strong>gcountry’s domestic f<strong>in</strong>ancial development. New evidence suggests thatforeign capital flows can compensate for an underdeveloped domestic f<strong>in</strong>ancialsystem, though this topic rema<strong>in</strong>s underexplored. Section 3 discusses recent workon the role of equity market liberalization and foreign direct <strong>in</strong>vestment <strong>in</strong> alleviat<strong>in</strong>gcredit constra<strong>in</strong>ts and stimulat<strong>in</strong>g trade flows.Build<strong>in</strong>g on the <strong>in</strong>tuition and results developed for the effects of credit constra<strong>in</strong>tson trade <strong>in</strong> steady state, Section 4 explores the role of f<strong>in</strong>ancial frictions<strong>in</strong> the adjustment to trade reforms. The goal of this section is to provide <strong>in</strong>formedpriors and outl<strong>in</strong>e an agenda for future research. S<strong>in</strong>ce trade policy changes aremost relevant for develop<strong>in</strong>g and emerg<strong>in</strong>g economies where credit constra<strong>in</strong>tsare most acute, the discussion focuses on the response of f<strong>in</strong>ancially underdevelopedcountries to trade liberalization. The last section concludes and considersthe merits of concurrent and sequential trade and f<strong>in</strong>ancial sector reforms.

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