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Going forward, however, Stokes argues that<br />

Taiwan needs a “survivable network of sensors”<br />

for “pervasive and persistent surveillance,” which<br />

might include earth observation satellites, “manned<br />

or unoccupied airborne sensors,” and passive and<br />

active ground- and maritime-based sensors. 33 The<br />

MND shares a similar vision for its ISR capabilities.<br />

According to the most recent QDR, to enhance ISR,<br />

Taiwan will:<br />

effectively employ mid- and long-range electronic<br />

surveillance systems, extend ground, sea and air<br />

surveillance capabilities, integrate C2 systems, establish<br />

COP, and share battlefield information to<br />

enhance early warning capacity and battlefield<br />

transparency. 34<br />

AN UNCERTAIN FUTURE<br />

Setting aside Taipei’s difficulties in meeting its<br />

own defense spending targets, Taiwan faces two other<br />

significant obstacles to fielding the kind of force it envisions.<br />

First, the military’s transition to an all-volunteer<br />

force faces major implementation problems and<br />

threatens to consume too many of the defense dollars<br />

that Taiwan does spend. Second, Taiwan continues<br />

to rely on defense articles from the United States at a<br />

time when Washington has a decreasing appetite for<br />

selling Taiwan the weapons it most needs and has an<br />

increasingly different vision than Taipei of Taiwan’s<br />

optimal defensive strategy.<br />

The All-Volunteer Force.<br />

On its face, the rationale behind Taiwan’s transition<br />

to an all-volunteer force makes sense. With Taiwan’s<br />

low birthrate leading over time to a smaller labor force<br />

218

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