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JAPAN’S NEIGHBORHOOD GETS ROUGHER<br />

Mounting pressures close to home, including China’s<br />

rise and North Korea’s unpredictability, largely<br />

explain the quickening pace of Japan’s normalization.<br />

China’s assertiveness in the East China Sea over<br />

the past 5 years has been most troubling to Japan.<br />

In September 2010, China reacted vociferously after<br />

Japanese law enforcement arrested a Chinese fishing<br />

boat skipper who was filmed ramming Japanese Coast<br />

Guard vessels in the waters off the Senkaku Islands.<br />

Beijing used economic coercion, cutting off Japan’s<br />

only supply of rare earth minerals critical to electronic<br />

manufactures.<br />

After Tokyo nationalized the Senkakus in September<br />

2012, Chinese maritime law enforcement flotillas<br />

began making the rounds in the disputed waters near<br />

the islands, and China has insisted that the regular patrols<br />

are routine. In response, Japanese Coast Guard<br />

vessels have been working overtime to monitor and<br />

trail every Chinese “intrusion,” lest Tokyo concede<br />

Beijing’s jurisdictional claims. Japan and China have<br />

been staring each other down in the East China Sea<br />

ever since.<br />

Beyond the Senkakus dispute, Japan and China<br />

are locked in a budding naval rivalry. As China’s<br />

rapidly modernizing navy extends its reach, it has become<br />

commonplace for Chinese naval flotillas to sail<br />

through Japanese-held narrow seas. Beginning in 2008<br />

as sporadic forays into the Pacific, these expeditions<br />

now take place regularly year round. Moreover, the<br />

Chinese navy has steadily expanded the scope of its<br />

peacetime operations.<br />

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