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This is not to suggest that discussion of UK military<br />

expenditure has been entirely free from contention.<br />

Since the transfer of power from the Labour to<br />

Coalition government in 2010, the UK defense debate<br />

has been dominated by the discovery of a so-called<br />

black hole in the defense budget: an unfunded liability<br />

of committed expenditure (largely on new equipment)<br />

between 2010 and 2020. A figure of £38 billion<br />

(roughly equivalent to the UK annual defense budget)<br />

is most often cited, although there are uncertainties as<br />

to how that sum was calculated.<br />

Nevertheless, in September 2011, Defense Secretary<br />

Liam Fox announced that the shortfall had almost<br />

been eliminated, and just months later, Philip Hammond,<br />

Fox’s successor, was reportedly confident that<br />

the black hole had been entirely eliminated and that<br />

the government would indeed be able to fund the Future<br />

Force 2020 (FF2020) modernization program that<br />

was announced in the 2010 Strategic Defence and Security<br />

Review (SDSR). 3<br />

In January 2013, the Ministry of Defence (MoD) announced<br />

that it was now in a position to commit as<br />

much as £160 billion over 10 years to a defense equipment<br />

plan “that will enable the MoD to deliver Future<br />

Force 2020.” In Hammond’s words:<br />

This £160 billion equipment plan will ensure the UK’s<br />

Armed Forces remain among the most capable and<br />

best equipped in the world, providing the military<br />

with the confidence that the equipment they need is<br />

fully funded. 4<br />

Hammond’s confidence is open to question, however.<br />

In the first place, some defense industrialists and<br />

acquisition analysts are concerned that the MoD has<br />

simply replaced the irresponsibility of overspend-<br />

261

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