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357<br />

reduced visits to Taiwan by Chinese tourists. 1 So far, however,<br />

Beijing has refrained from taking some of the more drastic costsimposing<br />

measures it could direct against Taipei, such as enticing<br />

countries with diplomatic relations with Taipei to cut ties and establish<br />

relations with Beijing instead, or stopping the implementation<br />

of cross-Strait agreements that were signed under the Ma Administration.<br />

2<br />

Taiwan’s 2016 Elections<br />

Taiwan’s electorate achieved several milestones in 2016: the election<br />

of Taiwan’s first female president, the third peaceful transition<br />

of presidential power between political parties, and the DPP’s first<br />

absolute majority in Taiwan’s legislature—the Legislative Yuan.<br />

Tsai Ing-wen won the election with 56.1 percent of the vote, while<br />

Eric Chu, the presidential candidate of the Chinese Nationalist<br />

Party (Kuomintang or KMT), finished with just 31.1 percent. 3 DPP<br />

candidates also won 68 seats in the Legislative Yuan compared to<br />

35 seats for the KMT and 10 for other parties. 4<br />

The election outcomes were the result of voter dissatisfaction<br />

with the outgoing Ma Administration and the KMT as well as with<br />

Taiwan’s struggling economy, President Tsai’s focus on domestic<br />

economic issues (rather than cross-Strait relations) during the campaign,<br />

and the rising concern among Taiwan citizens about the potential<br />

negative impact of growing ties with China on Taiwan’s<br />

economy and political autonomy. 5 According to Lin Chien-fu, a professor<br />

in the department of economics at National Taiwan University,<br />

who met with the Commission in Taiwan, the problem of<br />

unaffordable housing in Taiwan also was an important issue for<br />

voters. 6 The housing price to income ratio increased by almost onehalf.<br />

7 Real wages fell following the 2008–2009 global financial crisis<br />

and failed to recover to pre-crisis levels in subsequent years. 8<br />

During President Ma’s tenure, which was characterized by a<br />

thaw in some aspects of cross-Strait relations and a reduction in<br />

overall tensions, Taiwan and China signed 23 cooperation agreements<br />

and expanded economic, educational, travel, and government-to-government<br />

contacts and communication. These initiatives<br />

culminated in a meeting between President Ma and Chinese President<br />

and General Secretary of the Chinese Communist Party Xi<br />

Jinping in Singapore in November 2015, the first meeting between<br />

the leaders of Taiwan and China since 1949. During President Ma’s<br />

two terms in office, however, Taiwan’s economic growth slowed significantly<br />

amid stagnant wages, unemployment in Taiwan’s largely<br />

high-skilled workforce, weak entrepreneurial innovation, low inbound<br />

investment, and an electorate increasingly worried about<br />

China’s ability to influence Taiwan and the impact of agreements<br />

with China on Taiwan’s economy. 9<br />

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