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Study on feasibility of SATCOM for railway communication

SRAIL-FNR-010-IND%20-%20FinalReport_v1.1_20170216

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Final Report<br />

Methodology<br />

<br />

newly-built stati<strong>on</strong>s <strong>for</strong> every existing, upgraded GSM-R stati<strong>on</strong>) has been<br />

c<strong>on</strong>sidered, generating an open range <strong>of</strong> possible ec<strong>on</strong>omic outcomes.<br />

Maintenance and other costs have been sized to equal a yearly 5% <strong>of</strong> the CAPEX<br />

investment as is frequent best practice in such pre-<strong>feasibility</strong> assessments.<br />

Value-added services specific assumpti<strong>on</strong>s<br />

This assumpti<strong>on</strong>s focus <strong>on</strong> the specific analysis <strong>for</strong> value-added services <strong>for</strong> revenue generati<strong>on</strong><br />

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The number <strong>of</strong> passengers will grow in alignment with the populati<strong>on</strong>‘s own expected growth<br />

rate in the geographic and time scope <strong>of</strong> the analysis.<br />

The <strong>railway</strong> market growth has been extrapolated from 10 years past data.<br />

The revenues are c<strong>on</strong>stant regardless <strong>of</strong> the technology used to provide the service. Hence, a<br />

‗plat<strong>for</strong>m-independent‘ approach is assumed from <strong>railway</strong> undertakings, since passengers are<br />

implicitly assumed to be willing to pay <strong>for</strong> a given service regardless <strong>of</strong> the actual<br />

technological plat<strong>for</strong>m supporting it.<br />

The revenue model is based <strong>on</strong> a baseline tariff per user (as the sole source <strong>of</strong> revenue <strong>for</strong><br />

<strong>railway</strong> undertakings).<br />

Infrastructure managers are not expected to benefit from the provisi<strong>on</strong> <strong>of</strong> added-value<br />

services within the scope <strong>of</strong> this analysis.<br />

Adding broadband services will not alter the <strong>railway</strong> passenger demand expectati<strong>on</strong>s.<br />

It is assumed that there are no c<strong>on</strong>straints regarding channel capacity <strong>for</strong> <strong>SATCOM</strong> soluti<strong>on</strong>s<br />

<strong>on</strong> the space side.<br />

Broadband services include 20 Mbps <strong>of</strong> shared broadcast <strong>on</strong> <strong>for</strong>ward link (downlink) every<br />

100 trains, and 2Mbps <strong>on</strong> return link (uplink) data traffic per train.<br />

9.3.2 Methodology <strong>of</strong> the Cost Benefit Analysis<br />

This secti<strong>on</strong> describes the methodology, the models and the assumpti<strong>on</strong>s used to derive the costs and<br />

revenue due to the use <strong>of</strong> <strong>SATCOM</strong> <strong>for</strong> <strong>railway</strong> critical safety applicati<strong>on</strong>s and safety communicati<strong>on</strong>s.<br />

9.3.2.1 Approach to the Analysis<br />

The objective <strong>of</strong> this CBA is to determine which technologies are more promising <strong>for</strong> GSMR<br />

replacement. Hence, the analysis has been aligned towards a complete European assessment and<br />

overall lifecycle cost. The analysis uses a top down approach to determine the main costs incurred to<br />

each stakeholder, and the cost model differentiates cost sources depending <strong>on</strong> their recurrence. In<br />

additi<strong>on</strong>, the model also clearly differentiates between terrestrial and <strong>SATCOM</strong> soluti<strong>on</strong>s due to their<br />

inherent differences in architecture and cost sources.<br />

Hence, the following c<strong>on</strong>cepts are defined:<br />

<br />

CAPEX, or capital expenses, are the n<strong>on</strong>-recurring expenses required to develop and build the<br />

technology and systems. They are incurred <strong>for</strong> all the systems, infrastructure, terminals, and<br />

Doc.Nº: SRAIL-FNR-010-IND<br />

Edit./Rev.: 1/1<br />

Date: 16/02/2017<br />

Page 140 <strong>of</strong> 285

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