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Study on feasibility of SATCOM for railway communication

SRAIL-FNR-010-IND%20-%20FinalReport_v1.1_20170216

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Final Report<br />

Figure 86 shows a detailed breakdown <strong>of</strong> the sensitivity analysis per soluti<strong>on</strong>.<br />

Base Stati<strong>on</strong>s Re-use Factor<br />

Voice as a Requirement<br />

TETRA<br />

LTE<br />

GSMR<br />

-2000 -1500 -1000 -500 0 500 1000 1500 2000<br />

NPV 2040 delta (M€)<br />

Iridium NEXT<br />

Inmarsat 4<br />

GSMR<br />

LTE<br />

GEO/C-band<br />

TETRA<br />

MEO/C-band<br />

-1600 -1400 -1200 -1000 -800 -600 -400 -200 0<br />

NPV 2040 delta (M€)<br />

-10% 10%<br />

No<br />

Yes<br />

Terminal Prices<br />

Communicati<strong>on</strong> Tariffs<br />

LTE<br />

GEO/C-band<br />

GSMR<br />

Iridium NEXT<br />

Inmarsat 4<br />

TETRA<br />

MEO/C-band<br />

-400 -300 -200 -100 0 100 200 300 400<br />

NPV 2040 delta (M€)<br />

-10% 10%<br />

Inmarsat 4<br />

Iridium NEXT<br />

TETRA<br />

MEO/C-band<br />

GSMR<br />

GEO/C-band<br />

LTE<br />

-150 -100 -50 0 50 100 150<br />

NPV 2040 delta (M€)<br />

-10% 10%<br />

Figure 86: Sensitivity analysis results <strong>for</strong> narrowband soluti<strong>on</strong>s<br />

In the realm <strong>of</strong> narrowband soluti<strong>on</strong>s, voice is the parameter that induces the highest sensitivity. It has<br />

an especially great influence <strong>on</strong> <strong>SATCOM</strong> narrowband soluti<strong>on</strong>s Iridium NEXT and Inmarsat 4.<br />

Furthermore, not <strong>on</strong>ly does voice impose a strict cost penalizati<strong>on</strong>, but it also adds complexity to the<br />

technical soluti<strong>on</strong>.<br />

The sec<strong>on</strong>d most sensitive parameter is the re-use factor which is directly proporti<strong>on</strong>al to the number<br />

<strong>of</strong> stati<strong>on</strong>s required to provide the service. There<strong>for</strong>e, TETRA, the technology operating at lowest<br />

frequency and having more base stati<strong>on</strong>s, is the most influenced by this parameter.<br />

Terminal prices hold third positi<strong>on</strong> in the ranking. Reducing this cost will benefit mainly terrestrial<br />

soluti<strong>on</strong>s which are currently the <strong>on</strong>es with highest cost per terminal apart from broadband services,<br />

which are not assessed here.<br />

Lastly, the value <strong>of</strong> the communicati<strong>on</strong> tariffs has a higher impact <strong>on</strong> Inmarsat 4 and Iridium NEXT,<br />

these two opti<strong>on</strong>s being the str<strong>on</strong>gest competitors to terrestrial soluti<strong>on</strong>s.<br />

9.3.4.3 Broadband soluti<strong>on</strong>s analysis<br />

In this secti<strong>on</strong> the results <strong>of</strong> the sensitivity analysis <strong>for</strong> each technology are presented taking <strong>on</strong>ly<br />

broadband services into account.<br />

Doc.Nº: SRAIL-FNR-010-IND<br />

Edit./Rev.: 1/1<br />

Date: 16/02/2017<br />

Page 158 <strong>of</strong> 285

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