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Study on feasibility of SATCOM for railway communication

SRAIL-FNR-010-IND%20-%20FinalReport_v1.1_20170216

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Final Report<br />

<br />

Broadband is used as a Boolean parameter that indicates whether value-added services are<br />

included in the model. This parameter will be assessed as a sec<strong>on</strong>dary baseline, as it affects<br />

the model significantly, even modifying the pool <strong>of</strong> possible candidates.<br />

Re-use factor parameter describes the infrastructure re-utilisati<strong>on</strong> <strong>for</strong> terrestrial<br />

implementati<strong>on</strong>.<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

Voice parameter is used as a Boolean that indicates whether voice is a strict requirement <strong>for</strong><br />

the service provisi<strong>on</strong>.<br />

Terminal prices play an important role when defining the costs.<br />

Communicati<strong>on</strong> tariffs gain relevance when providing broadband services.<br />

Value-added tariffs or services usage size the income from value-added services and<br />

there<strong>for</strong>e determine its <strong>feasibility</strong>. Both multiply each other, and percentage changes have the<br />

same effect <strong>on</strong> the NPV. This parameter is <strong>on</strong>ly available <strong>for</strong> the broadband baseline.<br />

There are other relevant parameters that may impact significantly <strong>on</strong> the overall result. Nevertheless,<br />

they have been discarded, as their value is either c<strong>on</strong>fidently known, or they are related to the<br />

parameters analysed, e.g. the base stati<strong>on</strong> unitary price, apart from being available from the<br />

benchmark, is somehow related with the re-use factor as both are multiplied in the final <strong>for</strong>mula.<br />

9.3.4.2 Narrowband soluti<strong>on</strong>s analysis<br />

Here the results <strong>of</strong> the sensitivity analysis are presented <strong>for</strong> each technology c<strong>on</strong>sidering <strong>on</strong>ly<br />

narrowband services.<br />

Sensitivity Ranking<br />

Voice as a Requirement<br />

Base Stati<strong>on</strong>s Re-use Factor<br />

Terminal Prices<br />

Communicati<strong>on</strong> Tariffs<br />

0 200 400 600 800 1000 1200 1400 1600<br />

Influence in NPV 2040 (M€)<br />

Figure 85: Narrowband sensitivity parameters ranking<br />

The sensitivity ranking has been built not according to the maximum influence <strong>on</strong> the results, but<br />

rather the most relevant. An illustrative example <strong>of</strong> the rati<strong>on</strong>ale is presented below.<br />

TETRA presents much higher sensitivity than LTE regarding the re-use factor parameter. However,<br />

c<strong>on</strong>sidering the overall results, LTE shows a better overall business case than TETRA, and there<strong>for</strong>e it<br />

appears as a much more relevant soluti<strong>on</strong> than TETRA.<br />

The objective <strong>of</strong> the sensitivity ranking is to state which parameters have more influence in the most<br />

relevant soluti<strong>on</strong>s. There<strong>for</strong>e, the parameters have been ranked keeping a balance <strong>of</strong> their influence<br />

and the soluti<strong>on</strong> affected. Thus, this ranking represents the parameters that have most influence <strong>on</strong><br />

the most plausible future scenarios.<br />

Doc.Nº: SRAIL-FNR-010-IND<br />

Edit./Rev.: 1/1<br />

Date: 16/02/2017<br />

Page 157 <strong>of</strong> 285

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