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FINAL REPORT - Stakeholders - Ofcom

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A VDL2 channel will provide 10 times the capacity of the existing VHF ACARS channel,<br />

i.e. for Europe, where approximately 7 million kilobits are exchanged monthly today over<br />

3 VHF channels, the effective capacity will be increased to 70 million kilobits which SITA<br />

believes will more than adequately meet foreseen increases in AOC communications as<br />

well as the requirements for ATS applications.<br />

If the number of channels is increased from 3 to 6 this would effectively double the<br />

capacity, i.e. enable the exchange of 140 million kilobits per month.<br />

The price per kilobit of data exchanged is difficult to obtain and subject to commercial<br />

agreements between SITA and individual airlines although aeronautical cost benefit<br />

cases have used an estimated figure of £0.046 per kilobit. This values the revenue from<br />

SITA’s current European business on ACARS at £1.3M per year per channel. The move<br />

to VDL Mode 2 has the potential to increase the revenue to £13M per year per channel<br />

for the European service. Assuming that SITA operate at10% profit before tax, each<br />

channel has potential value of £1.3M per year.<br />

Hence, assuming demand for data services exists and, experience in other fields<br />

suggests that it does (although not necessarily at the relatively high data costs used by<br />

SITA); there is strong commercial desire to use any spectrum that could be freed up in<br />

the VHF band.<br />

An early use of digital links might be for the uplink of aircraft information. Such an uplink<br />

might provide a valuable service to general aviation users which, since the information<br />

could include the location of restricted areas, could enhance safety of both GA and AT<br />

class aircraft.<br />

Assuming that GA operators would be prepared to pay an annual subscription of £300 26 ,<br />

that 10% of the 20,000 GA fleet in the UK take up the service and that the basic<br />

subscription service requires one 25 kHz channel, then the revenue generate per channel<br />

is £600,000 per annum. Assuming the service is provided at a 10% profit rate, the value<br />

generated is £60k per annum.<br />

Clearly there is a strong potential to unlock spectrum for commercial use. The obvious<br />

mechanism is a concerted drive to 8.33 kHz channelisation. The barriers are a) the need<br />

to modify ground infrastructure and b) providing interoperability with GA.<br />

Taking the example of GA first, the cost of equipping GA with new radios might be £20M<br />

assuming 20000 aircraft, and £1000 per radio. The data value of 10 channels could be as<br />

high as £20m per year.<br />

It is important that the digital services are provided as efficiently as possible. Although<br />

VDL Mode 2 provides a considerable improvement compared with ACARS, it is still not<br />

particularly efficient. Studies have indicated that the effective data throughput of other<br />

VDL modes (3 and 4) could be between 2 and 3 times higher than that of VDL Mode 2. It<br />

is therefore possible to consider the use of AIP to encourage take up of more efficient<br />

data modes.<br />

There are at least two possible scenarios:<br />

• A: allow airline choice at first adoption and support both modes within the ground<br />

infrastructure<br />

• B: allow VDL Mode 2 to predominate and then upgrade to the next mode.<br />

26 This figure is based on the study team’s judgement and has been made for illustration.<br />

The figure has not been validated with GA users.<br />

Page 187

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