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ECONOMICS UNIQUENESS

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UNESCO WORLD HERITAGE LIST, TOURISM, AND ECONOMIC GROWTH ■ 197<br />

signifi cant—shown in equations (4) and (6). Th e F-test for the instrument used<br />

for Trade indicates that the instrument is not weak. Overall, Kleibergen-Paap statistics<br />

shown in the lower panel of table 7.3 are greater than the Stock and Yogo<br />

10 or 15 percent critical values for most of the regressions except for equation<br />

(5) and (6). Th at result indicates that the introduction of the instruments used<br />

for Institution weakens the identifi cation. Th e main result related to Tourism<br />

holds when we use Eurfrac, corresponding the fraction of the population speaking<br />

one of the major languages of Western Europe: English, French, German,<br />

Portuguese, or Spanish, and Lnsetmort individually and/or in combination with<br />

Engfrac as instruments for Institution. 15 We now turn to testing the robustness of<br />

our main results.<br />

Robustness 16<br />

Th e study fi rst conducted a number of robustness checks on the instrument. We<br />

used various versions of the WHL in the IV regressions, as shown in table 7.6 in<br />

Appendix II. Results are virtually unchanged whether we use the list from 1997<br />

or 1992. Th e coeffi cients associated with Tourism in the second stage regressions<br />

range between 0.013 and 0.015.<br />

Th e study then used exclusively the number of cultural sites as an instrument<br />

for Tourism in the IV growth regressions. As discussed previously, the process of<br />

selection of natural sites is a potential source of statistical bias in our estimation<br />

results stemming from the fact that both the selection of natural sites and economic<br />

growth could be explained by a variable we have omitted to include in our<br />

regression analysis. Once again our results are virtually unchanged. Indeed, the<br />

coeffi cient associated with Tourism in equation (2) of appendix table 7.7 when<br />

using only cultural sites equals 0.015 (compared to 0.013 in our benchmark<br />

regression). Further, appendix table 7.8 shows results of the regressions (1)–(8)<br />

where sites built in the 20th century, 19th to 20th centuries, and up to 5th century<br />

BC were respectively subtracted. Th e sign, magnitude (ranging from 0.013 to<br />

0.016), and signifi cance of the coeffi cients associated with Tourism are all in line<br />

with our main result.<br />

Th e study also used, in addition to the UNESCO World Heritage sites, kilometers<br />

of coastal zone, the square of the latter variable, and its interaction with<br />

the distance to the equator. Indeed, coastal area is likely to exogenously drive<br />

tourism activity. Controlling for Trade, this provides a valid instrument in the<br />

sense that it satisfi es the exclusion restriction. Once again, our results hold. Th e<br />

coeffi cient associated with Tourism ranges from 0.013 in our benchmark regressions<br />

to 0.016, as shown in appendix table 7.9. Th e Hansen-J test indicates that<br />

the over-identifying restrictions are valid. Th e Kleibergen-Paap statistics indicate<br />

that the instruments are not weak, albeit at the 10 percent level.

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