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ECONOMICS UNIQUENESS

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LIVABLE HISTORIC CITY CORES AND ENABLING ENVIRONMENT ■ 3<br />

Furthermore, 41 percent rated competing for talent globally as one of their most<br />

pressing employment concerns. Resolving this paradox in a manner that provides<br />

increased employment opportunities across a range of skill levels and socioeconomic<br />

groups will require a multifaceted approach that will vary depending<br />

on many factors, such as a country’s level of development and resource endowments.<br />

However, it is very clear that this challenge will have to be resolved in cities<br />

and that the bulk of the jobs will have to come from the private sector.<br />

More than 50 percent of the world’s people already live in cities, and they<br />

account for 70 percent of world gross domestic product. Furthermore, nearly<br />

2 billion new urban residents are expected in the next 20 years, as people “vote<br />

with their feet” in search of opportunity. Most of these people will have to fi nd<br />

jobs in the private sector, which is the engine of growth and employment accounting<br />

for about 90 percent of employment in developing countries.<br />

Th e cities that will be most successful at meeting the jobs and growth aspirations<br />

of their inhabitants, while alleviating poverty and working toward social<br />

inclusion, will be those that employ all of their resources to promote a healthy<br />

environment for investment and talent. Among the resources these cities need to<br />

harness is their built cultural heritage.<br />

Recent Trends in Foreign Direct Investment<br />

Th e last two decades saw an explosion in the scale of worldwide foreign direct<br />

investment (FDI), with the annual fl ow growing from US$208 billion in 1990 to a<br />

peak of US$1,771 billion in 2008. Th e fi nancial crisis caused a sharp fall in fl ows<br />

to a level of US$1,114 billion in 2009, having bottomed out in the latter half of<br />

2009 before recovering modestly in 2010. Th e World Investment Report (UNC-<br />

TAD 2011) anticipates a recovery in fl ows back toward the 2008 level by 2012, but<br />

cautions that prospects are still “fraught with risks and uncertainties, including<br />

the fragility of the global economic recovery.”<br />

Despite the recent short-term decline, FDI will continue to play a critical role<br />

in economic development. For cities in developing countries, this will be even<br />

more important given three factors:<br />

• An increasing proportion of FDI is going to developing countries; 2010 was<br />

the fi rst year ever that FDI fl ows to developing and transitional economies<br />

accounted for more than half the global total (UNCTAD 2011), and there is<br />

every sign that the importance of FDI there will continue to grow.<br />

• Investment and trade in services in general, and in the creative industries<br />

in particular, are of growing importance in the world economy relative to<br />

manufacturing and extractive industries (UNCTAD 2004), and this has been<br />

refl ected in global FDI fl ows.

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