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Fisheries in the Southern Border Zone of Takamanda - Impact ...

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Landcover change<br />

Note that <strong>the</strong> generality <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong>se results are<br />

dependent on <strong>the</strong> quality and representativeness <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong><br />

test<strong>in</strong>g site pixels. For this study, only limited ground<br />

truth data was collected, and <strong>the</strong> test<strong>in</strong>g sites were<br />

determ<strong>in</strong>ed manually based on limited data and personal<br />

familiarity with <strong>the</strong> region. For example, it is possible<br />

that <strong>the</strong> 9% <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong> forest conversion test<strong>in</strong>g site pixels that<br />

were classified as lowland forest actually are lowland<br />

forest; no site visits to those specific locations were<br />

made, and <strong>the</strong> test<strong>in</strong>g site pixels for forest conversion<br />

may actually conta<strong>in</strong> some lowland forest pixels.<br />

Never<strong>the</strong>less, <strong>the</strong>se results do <strong>in</strong>dicate that <strong>the</strong><br />

classification tends to a conservative estimate <strong>of</strong> forest<br />

conversion areas; none <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong> lowland forest test<strong>in</strong>g site<br />

pixels were misclassified.<br />

The accuracy <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong> classification was also evaluated<br />

qualitatively, based on personal knowledge <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong> area<br />

and supplemented by a visit to <strong>the</strong> reserve <strong>in</strong> June 2002.<br />

Dur<strong>in</strong>g this visit, <strong>the</strong> locations <strong>of</strong> transitions between<br />

secondary forest or farms and primary forest were noted<br />

and recorded with GPS measurements. Dur<strong>in</strong>g<br />

prelim<strong>in</strong>ary classifications, <strong>the</strong>se locations were used to<br />

help tune <strong>the</strong> tra<strong>in</strong><strong>in</strong>g sites and classification parameters.<br />

With <strong>the</strong> f<strong>in</strong>al classification, <strong>the</strong>y were also checked to<br />

evaluate <strong>the</strong> result. Qualitatively, <strong>the</strong> result appears to<br />

capture quite well <strong>the</strong> areas <strong>of</strong> forest conversion around<br />

villages. As <strong>in</strong>dicated by <strong>the</strong> accuracy results above, <strong>the</strong>re<br />

may be some underestimation <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong> amount <strong>of</strong> forest<br />

conversion, <strong>in</strong> favor <strong>of</strong> lowland or secondary forest.<br />

Lack<strong>in</strong>g more extensive ground truth data, this<br />

conservative result is preferable.<br />

The ma<strong>in</strong> areas <strong>of</strong> confusion surround <strong>the</strong> ridge<br />

forest class, and <strong>the</strong> results for certa<strong>in</strong> areas <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong> image.<br />

The ridge forest class, although botanically dist<strong>in</strong>ct, has<br />

not been mapped to any extent previously, so selection <strong>of</strong><br />

tra<strong>in</strong><strong>in</strong>g and test<strong>in</strong>g sites was based mostly on visual<br />

image characteristics and expected locations <strong>of</strong> this forest<br />

type. Geographically, <strong>the</strong> classification <strong>of</strong> ridge forest<br />

around Matene village (see figure 1 <strong>in</strong> chapter 1) is <strong>of</strong><br />

particular concern; this area was visited, and much <strong>of</strong><br />

what comes out <strong>in</strong> <strong>the</strong> classification as ridge forest is<br />

most likely secondary forest. However, <strong>the</strong> higher<br />

elevation here may contribute to secondary forest<br />

appear<strong>in</strong>g as what elsewhere is ridge forest. Aside from<br />

this area around Matene, almost all ridge forest appears<br />

(<strong>in</strong> <strong>the</strong> classification, as we believe is true <strong>in</strong> <strong>the</strong> field) on<br />

<strong>the</strong> sides or ridges <strong>of</strong> hills. To some extent, this may<br />

simply reflect <strong>the</strong> different illum<strong>in</strong>ation conditions on<br />

hillsides, but lack<strong>in</strong>g more extensive ground surveys <strong>of</strong><br />

this forest type, we cannot be sure. The o<strong>the</strong>r area <strong>of</strong><br />

concern is <strong>the</strong> nor<strong>the</strong>astern corner <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong> image, <strong>in</strong> <strong>the</strong><br />

vic<strong>in</strong>ity <strong>of</strong> Akwaya. No visit was made to this region,<br />

which is at a significantly higher altitude than most <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong><br />

image, and s<strong>in</strong>ce <strong>the</strong> vegetation <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong> region is quite<br />

different structurally from <strong>the</strong> lowland areas, we simply<br />

cannot know if <strong>the</strong> secondary and forest conversion<br />

classes are correct here.<br />

3.3 Change patterns<br />

177<br />

With <strong>the</strong> f<strong>in</strong>al classification output, total areas were<br />

computed for each class, for 5 different zones <strong>in</strong> <strong>the</strong><br />

image: (1) <strong>the</strong> <strong>Takamanda</strong> Forest Reserve (exclud<strong>in</strong>g<br />

enclave communities), (2) <strong>the</strong> Kekpane enclave, (3) <strong>the</strong><br />

Obonyi enclave, (4) a 5-km buffer zone around <strong>the</strong><br />

outside <strong>of</strong> TFR, and (5) <strong>the</strong> entire 1600 x 1760 pixel<br />

image subset. Table 2 shows <strong>the</strong>se totals, omitt<strong>in</strong>g <strong>the</strong><br />

water and shadow classes.<br />

As can be seen <strong>in</strong> <strong>the</strong> f<strong>in</strong>al classification image<br />

(Figure <strong>in</strong> photo gallery), most <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong> areas <strong>of</strong> forest<br />

conversion are located on <strong>the</strong> periphery <strong>of</strong> exist<strong>in</strong>g<br />

villages and areas <strong>of</strong> preexist<strong>in</strong>g secondary forest/farms.<br />

This suggests that clear<strong>in</strong>g for farm<strong>in</strong>g is expand<strong>in</strong>g <strong>in</strong>to<br />

previously undisturbed forest; if <strong>the</strong> areas <strong>of</strong> forest<br />

conversion were also located with<strong>in</strong> <strong>the</strong>se village centers<br />

and with<strong>in</strong> patches <strong>of</strong> secondary forest, that would tend<br />

to <strong>in</strong>dicate that those forest conversions were really from<br />

older secondary forest, not from undisturbed lowland<br />

forest. In a few cases, however, most <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong> farms around<br />

a village are from ‘recent’ forest conversion, such as<br />

Obonyi 1 (on <strong>the</strong> W side <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong> enclave) and Obonyi 2 (to<br />

<strong>the</strong> west <strong>of</strong> TFR); for those villages, farm<strong>in</strong>g may not be<br />

significantly expand<strong>in</strong>g beyond previously farmed areas.<br />

From <strong>the</strong> general patterns visible <strong>in</strong> this classification,<br />

however, one would tend to conclude that <strong>the</strong> farm<br />

rotation cycle is probably too short for secondary forest<br />

SI/MAB Series #8, 2003

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