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London Wider Waste Strategy - London - Greater London Authority

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5.7. The findings for England and Wales as a whole and <strong>London</strong> are presented in Table 5.1<br />

below. The results were also reported by region.<br />

Table 5.1: Estimated arisings of hard construction and demolition wastes and<br />

excavation wastes (million tonnes) (from Symonds 2000 and 2002)<br />

Data <strong>London</strong> England England and Wales<br />

1999 6.60 69.19 72.50<br />

2001 6.05 88.89 93.91<br />

5.8. As previously mentioned, the data reported by Symonds is based on survey rather than<br />

waste arisings data returns for the industry. Hence, the accuracy of the data is<br />

dependent upon the survey response rate, the reliability of information provided by<br />

respondents, and the methodology used by the researchers to extrapolate the results to<br />

a national level and then to break it down breakdown again to the regional level. For<br />

these reasons, the 2002 report acknowledges that the data are estimates only, and<br />

states a confidence level of 90%. While Symonds also quote a similar degree of<br />

confidence in the data accuracy at a national level (± 15%), the data for the <strong>London</strong><br />

region has a confidence level lying between an upper and lower band of ± 39%. It is<br />

important to recognise that the survey results are data estimates only expressed as a<br />

range. For example, the survey results indicate that hard C&D waste arisings in <strong>London</strong><br />

are likely to lie in the range between 3.7-8.4 million tonnes, with a mid-point of 6.05<br />

million tonnes and a confidence level of 90%. These figures are presented in Table 5.2<br />

below.<br />

Table 5.2: Estimated arisings, confidence levels and limits of band for hard<br />

construction and demolition wastes and excavation wastes (million tonnes)<br />

(from Symonds 2002)<br />

Estimated l Arisings<br />

(mid-point<br />

Band Width Lower end of band Upper end of<br />

band<br />

<strong>London</strong> 6.05 ± 39 3.70 8.40<br />

England 88.89 ± 15 75.60 102.20<br />

England & Wales 93.91 ± 15 79.80 108.00<br />

5.9. Table 5.2 highlights that whilst there is a tendency to quote the total arisings of ‘hard’<br />

and ‘excavated’ construction and demolition wastes in <strong>London</strong> as being 6.05 million<br />

tonnes, in fact the survey results indicate that the ‘real’ figure is expected to lie within a<br />

range of 3.7 to 8.4 million tonnes, with a confidence level of 90%. This suggests that it<br />

is not prudent to assume that the real figure will necessarily lie close to the centre of<br />

this range (i.e. 6.05 million tonnes), or indeed that it will definitely lie within this range<br />

at all. The authors of the Symonds report also acknowledge the possibility of a bias<br />

when coming down to the regional level due to sample size and local conditions which<br />

may lead to greater inaccuracies at the regional level.<br />

29 'Paragraph 9 sites' are registered exempt sites where exemption holders are permitted to spread up to<br />

20,000m3/ha of soil, rock, ash, sludge, dredgings, or C&D waste for land reclamation purposes or agricultural<br />

improvement. 'Paragraph 19 sites' are registered exempt sites where exemption holders are permitted to store or<br />

use C&D waste, excavation waste, ash, clinker, rock, wood or gypsum in connection with recreational or<br />

infrastructure projects, excluding land reclamation.<br />

76

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