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Denmark's National Inventory Report 2005 - Submitted under the ...

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place during <strong>the</strong> first 30 years following afforestation (Vesterdal et al., 2002). However, results<br />

from an EU project (http://www.sl.kvl.dk/afforest/) indicate that this may not be <strong>the</strong> case following<br />

afforestation on o<strong>the</strong>r soil types (Vesterdal et al., 2004). There is currently no systematic<br />

data available to explore this fur<strong>the</strong>r.<br />

The annual CO 2 uptake and <strong>the</strong> cumulated CO 2 uptake and afforested area since 1990 are given in<br />

Table 7.6. As shown in <strong>the</strong> table, annual sequestration of CO 2 in forests established since 1990 has<br />

gradually increased to 73 Gg CO 2 in 2001, for fur<strong>the</strong>r details see <strong>the</strong> Annex. The annual CO 2 sequestration<br />

will increase much more over <strong>the</strong> next decades when cohorts of afforestation areas<br />

enter <strong>the</strong> stage of maximum current increment.<br />

Table 7.6 Annual CO 2 uptake, cumulated CO 2 uptake and cumulated afforested area (ha) due to afforestation<br />

activities 1990 – 2002.<br />

Annual CO2 uptake (Gg yr -1<br />

)<br />

Cumulated CO2 uptake (Gg)<br />

Cumulated<br />

afforestation<br />

area (ha)<br />

1990 1991 1992 1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003<br />

0 -1 -3 -5 -8 -10 -16 -24 -34 -43 -59 -74 -88 -108<br />

0 -1 -4 -10 -17 -28 -44 -68 -102 -145 -204 -278 -365 -473<br />

730 1723 2978 4258 5749 7075 8451 10711 12116 16539 19292 21416 23754 26301<br />

During <strong>the</strong> Kyoto commitment period 2008–2012 (5 years), it is estimated that <strong>the</strong> Danish afforestation<br />

activities will result in sequestration of 1,308 Gg CO 2 . This amount of C results from <strong>the</strong><br />

afforestation of 43,000 ha of former arable land over <strong>the</strong> period 1990–2012. The sink capacity is<br />

based on a conservative estimate of approximately 1,900 ha of land afforested annually in <strong>the</strong> period<br />

2004-2012, but it is possible that o<strong>the</strong>r instruments in addition to subsidisation will make it<br />

possible to increase <strong>the</strong> rate of afforestation and eventually <strong>the</strong> sequestration of CO 2 .<br />

7.2.2.4 Total contribution of forestry<br />

Table 7.7 shows <strong>the</strong> figures reported in this NIR report distributed to <strong>the</strong> land uses afforestation and<br />

forests existing prior to 1990. Afforestation currently contributes little to <strong>the</strong> total uptake in forestry,<br />

but <strong>the</strong> annual uptake increases as stands enter <strong>the</strong> stage of maximum rate of increment and as <strong>the</strong><br />

afforestation area gradually increases.<br />

Table 7.7 CO 2 stores and annual uptake in forests in Gg, 1990 – 2002. Uptake due to changes in forest biomass<br />

stocks in forests planted before 1990 and due to afforestation of former arable land since 1990.<br />

1990 1991 1992 1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003<br />

CO 2 store in all forests 82225 98278<br />

Total CO 2 uptake in<br />

forests -2832 -3013 -3000 -3215 -3100 -2992 -3064 -3153 -3313 -3311 -653 -3539 -3813 -3532<br />

CO 2 uptake in forests<br />

existing before 1990 -2832 -3012 -2997 -3210 -3092 -2982 -3048 -3129 -3279 -3268 -594 -3465 -3725 -3424<br />

CO 2 uptake due to afforestation<br />

since 1990 0 -1 -3 -5 -8 -10 -16 -24 -34 -43 -59 -74 -88 -108<br />

7.2.3 Uncertainties and time-series consistency<br />

7.2.3.1 Uncertainty of <strong>the</strong> reported sinks<br />

In response to previous reviews a discussion has been added on <strong>the</strong> probably high but currently<br />

unknown uncertainty for CO uptake in forestry. Uncertainty will be addressed for <strong>the</strong> inventory<br />

2<br />

173

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