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Denmark's National Inventory Report 2005 - Submitted under the ...

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3.2.3.1 Methodology<br />

Greenhouse gases<br />

The Danish uncertainty estimates for GHGs are based on <strong>the</strong> Tier 1 approach in IPCC Good Practice<br />

Guidance (IPCC 2000). The uncertainty levels have been estimated for <strong>the</strong> following emission<br />

source subcategories within stationary combustion:<br />

• CO 2 emission from each of <strong>the</strong> applied fuel categories<br />

• CH 4 emission from gas engines<br />

• CH 4 emission from all o<strong>the</strong>r stationary combustion plants<br />

• N 2 O emission from all stationary combustion plants<br />

The separate uncertainty estimation for gas engine CH 4 emission and CH 4 emission from o<strong>the</strong>r<br />

plants does not follow <strong>the</strong> recommendations in <strong>the</strong> IPCC Good Practice Guidance. Disaggregation<br />

is applied, because in Denmark <strong>the</strong> CH 4 emission from gas engines is much larger than <strong>the</strong> emission<br />

from o<strong>the</strong>r stationary combustion plants, and <strong>the</strong> CH 4 emission factor for gas engines is estimated<br />

with a much smaller uncertainty level than for o<strong>the</strong>r stationary combustion plants.<br />

Most of <strong>the</strong> applied uncertainty estimates for activity rates and emission factors are default values<br />

from <strong>the</strong> IPCC Reference Manual. A few of <strong>the</strong> uncertainty estimates are, however, based on national<br />

estimates.<br />

Table 3.14 Uncertainty rates for activity rates and emission factors<br />

ÃÃ Ã<br />

<br />

È<br />

Stationary Combustion, Coal CO2 1<br />

1)<br />

Stationary Combustion, BKB CO2 3<br />

1)<br />

Stationary Combustion, Coke oven coke CO2 3<br />

1)<br />

Stationary Combustion, Petroleum coke CO2 3<br />

1)<br />

Stationary Combustion, Plastic waste CO2 5<br />

4)<br />

Stationary Combustion, Residual oil CO2 2<br />

1)<br />

Stationary Combustion, Gas oil CO2 4<br />

1)<br />

Stationary Combustion, Kerosene CO2 4<br />

1)<br />

Stationary Combustion, Orimulsion CO2 1<br />

1)<br />

Stationary Combustion, Natural gas CO2 3<br />

1)<br />

Stationary Combustion, LPG CO2 4<br />

1)<br />

Stationary Combustion, Refinery gas CO2 3<br />

1)<br />

Stationary combustion plants, gas engines CH4 2,2<br />

1)<br />

Stationary combustion plants, o<strong>the</strong>r CH4 2,2<br />

1)<br />

Stationary combustion plants<br />

1) IPCC Good Practice Guidance (default value)<br />

2) Kristensen (2001)<br />

3) Jensen & Lindroth (2002)<br />

4) NERI assumption<br />

N2O 2,2<br />

1)<br />

70<br />

Ã<br />

<br />

È<br />

5 3)<br />

5 1)<br />

5 1)<br />

5 1)<br />

5 4)<br />

2 3)<br />

5 1)<br />

5 1)<br />

2 3)<br />

1 3)<br />

5 1)<br />

5 1)<br />

40 2)<br />

100 1)<br />

1000 1)<br />

O<strong>the</strong>r pollutants<br />

With regard to o<strong>the</strong>r pollutants, IPCC methodologies for uncertainty estimates have been adopted<br />

for <strong>the</strong> LRTAP Convention reporting activities (Pulles & Aardenne 2001). The Danish uncertainty<br />

estimates are based on <strong>the</strong> simple Tier 1 approach.<br />

The uncertainty estimates are based on emission data and uncertainties for each of <strong>the</strong> main SNAP<br />

sectors. The assumed uncertainties for activity rates and emission factors are based on default val-

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