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Denmark's National Inventory Report 2005 - Submitted under the ...

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ues from Pulles & Aardenne 2001. The default uncertainties for emission factors are given in letter<br />

codes representing an uncertainty range. It has been assumed that <strong>the</strong> uncertainties were in <strong>the</strong><br />

lower end of <strong>the</strong> range for all sources and pollutants. The uncertainties for emission factors are<br />

shown in Table 3.15. The uncertainty for fuel consumption in stationary combustion plants was<br />

assumed to be 2%.<br />

Table 3.15 Uncertainty rates for emission factors<br />

à <br />

01 10 20 50 20<br />

02 20 50 50 50<br />

03 10 20 50 20<br />

3.2.3.2 Results<br />

The uncertainty estimates for stationary combustion emission inventories are shown in Table 3.16.<br />

Detailed calculation sheets are provided in Annex 3A.<br />

The uncertainty interval for GHG is estimated to be ±11% and <strong>the</strong> uncertainty for <strong>the</strong> trend in<br />

GHG emission is ±1.7%-age points. The main sources of uncertainty for GHG emission are N 2 O<br />

emission (all plants) and CO 2 emission from coal combustion. The main source of uncertainty in<br />

<strong>the</strong> trend in GHG emission is CO 2 emission from <strong>the</strong> combustion of coal and natural gas.<br />

The total emission uncertainty is 7% for SO 2 , 16% for NO X , 38% for NMVOC and 43% for CO.<br />

Table 3.16 Danish uncertainty estimates, 2003<br />

<br />

Ã<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

È<br />

È ÈÃ<br />

GHG 10,8 +11,1 ± 1,7<br />

CO2 2,9 +10,1 ± 1,7<br />

CH4 39 +330 ± 320<br />

N2O 1000 +10,7 ± 3,4<br />

SO2 7 -82,9 ±0,5<br />

NOX 16 -26 ±2<br />

NMVOC 38 46 ±15<br />

CO 43 6,4 ±4,1<br />

3.2.4 QA/QC and verification<br />

The elaboration of a formal QA/QC plan started in 2004. A first draft QA/QC plan (in Danish) for<br />

stationary combustion has been developed and this draft version is now applied as one of two<br />

sector specific QA/QC cases. Adaptation to <strong>the</strong> general QA/QC plan will be performed in <strong>2005</strong>.<br />

The draft QA/QC plan for stationary combustion includes:<br />

− Documentation concerning external data sources, including contacts, contracts with data supplier,<br />

archiving and suggested QC.<br />

− Compilation of <strong>the</strong> data for <strong>the</strong> emission database, including current QC and suggested QC<br />

− Data input to <strong>the</strong> emission database, including information on whe<strong>the</strong>r <strong>the</strong> data transfer is<br />

manual or not, current QC during and after data input, suggested QC.<br />

− Emission inventory, including current and suggested QC of <strong>the</strong> emission inventory (consistency<br />

and completeness)<br />

71

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