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4 Effective Additional Market Access<br />
under SAFTA: Countrywise Analysis<br />
INTRODUCTION<br />
To gauge the benefits of a regional trade agreement it<br />
is essential to identify the effective additional market<br />
access that it creates for its members. There is a catena<br />
of unilateral, bilateral, regional and sub-global level<br />
tariff concessions which operate between members of<br />
SAFTA today. These include concessions related to the<br />
Bangkok Agreement, GSTP, GSTP (LDC), the Indo-<br />
Bhutan, Indo-Nepal, Indo-Lanka and Pakistan-Lanka<br />
bilateral FTAs. Several more like the Bangladesh-<br />
Pakistan FTA and BIMSTEC are at various stages of<br />
negotiation. Given the history of multiplicity of agreements<br />
in concessions between South Asian countries,<br />
these concessions have to be considered to determine<br />
the benefits that SAFTA offers over and above these.<br />
In this context, this chapter tries to capture the<br />
effective additional market access that is created as a<br />
result of SAFTA for its various members. Two aspects<br />
would determine the EAMA. The first would be the<br />
sensitive list decided upon and the second would be<br />
the identification of those non sensitive products for<br />
which concessions are effectively provided. SAFTA<br />
adopts a negative list approach to tariff liberalisation.<br />
This implies that countries will liberalise tariffs in all<br />
products, except those specified in negative lists (that<br />
have been negotiated and agreed upon by all members).<br />
This is as opposed to a positive list approach, like that<br />
adopted in SAPTA, where countries liberalise tariffs<br />
only in products that they specifically commit to, with<br />
status quo maintained on all products not committed.<br />
The contents of the Sensitive Lists scheduled by<br />
countries play a defining role in the extent to which<br />
the FTA will lead to Intra-SAFTA trade gains. The<br />
negative list of SAFTA has been specified at the 6-digit<br />
level. There are a total of 5224 lines at the 6-digit level<br />
in the entire HS Code. If one were to look at the number<br />
of items in the negative list as a measure of<br />
restrictiveness, then even the country (Pakistan) with<br />
the largest number of items (1,183) in the negative list,<br />
would not appear to be restrictive since only 23% of<br />
the total items in the HS Code would be excluded from<br />
tariff liberalisation. This would however not be the<br />
correct way of assessing the extent to which the negative<br />
list affects trade gains. When global trade (export)<br />
statistics are examined, it is seen that 80% of the world<br />
trade takes place in only 950 HS 6-digit lines (18% of<br />
all HS 6-digit products). 1 In the case of South Asia,<br />
where exports are less diversified than the rest of the<br />
world, 80% of South Asia’s global exports takes place<br />
through only 368 HS 6-digit products (7% of the total<br />
HS Code (7% of all HS 6-digit products)<br />
Thus the extent of trade and trade potential items<br />
in the negative lists of members are more important,<br />
than the number of items. In order to assess the<br />
implications of the negative lists of each of the countries,<br />
the items were extracted from the notified sensitive<br />
lists. 2 After taking into account errors in HS coding/<br />
reporting, a revised table indicating the number of<br />
products has been prepared. (see Table 4.1)<br />
Even after the sensitive list is accounted for there is<br />
a need to determine the products in which tariffs are<br />
1<br />
Based on 6-Digit HS Export Data from WITS/COMTRADE for year 2004.<br />
2<br />
It must be noted that the manner in which the negative lists have been notified (SAARC website), has room for considerable<br />
improvement. Though the HS Coding System obliges all WCO members to adopt exactly the same HS Code System at the 6<br />
digit level, there are variances in format of reporting of 6 digit HS Codes between SAARC members. Apart from differences<br />
in the formatting of codes, there are some errors in the codes notified. Some countries have reported HS Codes and products<br />
that do not appear in the HS 2002 code as prescribed by the WCO. This could be the subject of technical cooperation on<br />
harmonisation of HS Codes between SAARC countries.