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4 Effective Additional Market Access<br />

under SAFTA: Countrywise Analysis<br />

INTRODUCTION<br />

To gauge the benefits of a regional trade agreement it<br />

is essential to identify the effective additional market<br />

access that it creates for its members. There is a catena<br />

of unilateral, bilateral, regional and sub-global level<br />

tariff concessions which operate between members of<br />

SAFTA today. These include concessions related to the<br />

Bangkok Agreement, GSTP, GSTP (LDC), the Indo-<br />

Bhutan, Indo-Nepal, Indo-Lanka and Pakistan-Lanka<br />

bilateral FTAs. Several more like the Bangladesh-<br />

Pakistan FTA and BIMSTEC are at various stages of<br />

negotiation. Given the history of multiplicity of agreements<br />

in concessions between South Asian countries,<br />

these concessions have to be considered to determine<br />

the benefits that SAFTA offers over and above these.<br />

In this context, this chapter tries to capture the<br />

effective additional market access that is created as a<br />

result of SAFTA for its various members. Two aspects<br />

would determine the EAMA. The first would be the<br />

sensitive list decided upon and the second would be<br />

the identification of those non sensitive products for<br />

which concessions are effectively provided. SAFTA<br />

adopts a negative list approach to tariff liberalisation.<br />

This implies that countries will liberalise tariffs in all<br />

products, except those specified in negative lists (that<br />

have been negotiated and agreed upon by all members).<br />

This is as opposed to a positive list approach, like that<br />

adopted in SAPTA, where countries liberalise tariffs<br />

only in products that they specifically commit to, with<br />

status quo maintained on all products not committed.<br />

The contents of the Sensitive Lists scheduled by<br />

countries play a defining role in the extent to which<br />

the FTA will lead to Intra-SAFTA trade gains. The<br />

negative list of SAFTA has been specified at the 6-digit<br />

level. There are a total of 5224 lines at the 6-digit level<br />

in the entire HS Code. If one were to look at the number<br />

of items in the negative list as a measure of<br />

restrictiveness, then even the country (Pakistan) with<br />

the largest number of items (1,183) in the negative list,<br />

would not appear to be restrictive since only 23% of<br />

the total items in the HS Code would be excluded from<br />

tariff liberalisation. This would however not be the<br />

correct way of assessing the extent to which the negative<br />

list affects trade gains. When global trade (export)<br />

statistics are examined, it is seen that 80% of the world<br />

trade takes place in only 950 HS 6-digit lines (18% of<br />

all HS 6-digit products). 1 In the case of South Asia,<br />

where exports are less diversified than the rest of the<br />

world, 80% of South Asia’s global exports takes place<br />

through only 368 HS 6-digit products (7% of the total<br />

HS Code (7% of all HS 6-digit products)<br />

Thus the extent of trade and trade potential items<br />

in the negative lists of members are more important,<br />

than the number of items. In order to assess the<br />

implications of the negative lists of each of the countries,<br />

the items were extracted from the notified sensitive<br />

lists. 2 After taking into account errors in HS coding/<br />

reporting, a revised table indicating the number of<br />

products has been prepared. (see Table 4.1)<br />

Even after the sensitive list is accounted for there is<br />

a need to determine the products in which tariffs are<br />

1<br />

Based on 6-Digit HS Export Data from WITS/COMTRADE for year 2004.<br />

2<br />

It must be noted that the manner in which the negative lists have been notified (SAARC website), has room for considerable<br />

improvement. Though the HS Coding System obliges all WCO members to adopt exactly the same HS Code System at the 6<br />

digit level, there are variances in format of reporting of 6 digit HS Codes between SAARC members. Apart from differences<br />

in the formatting of codes, there are some errors in the codes notified. Some countries have reported HS Codes and products<br />

that do not appear in the HS 2002 code as prescribed by the WCO. This could be the subject of technical cooperation on<br />

harmonisation of HS Codes between SAARC countries.

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