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The Benefits to Taxpayers from Increases in Students - RAND ...

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82 <strong>The</strong> <strong>Benefits</strong> <strong>to</strong> <strong>Taxpayers</strong> <strong>from</strong> <strong>Increases</strong> <strong>in</strong> <strong>Students</strong>’ Educational Atta<strong>in</strong>ment<br />

Table 7.6 summarizes the results by scenario. Increased education generally yields<br />

greater net benefits for Hispanic men than for Hispanic women.<br />

Sensitivity Analysis<br />

To explore the extent <strong>to</strong> which our results are sensitive <strong>to</strong> the estimates of the effects<br />

of education on net benefits <strong>to</strong> taxpayers, we replicated all the calculations, this time<br />

assum<strong>in</strong>g that the effects of <strong>in</strong>creases <strong>in</strong> education on each type of benefit <strong>to</strong> taxpayers<br />

were 25 percent smaller than our estimates. We then calculated the percentage reduction<br />

<strong>in</strong> the estimated effect of an <strong>in</strong>crease <strong>in</strong> education for each of the demographic<br />

populations if the effect of the <strong>in</strong>crease <strong>in</strong> education on tax payments, social program<br />

costs, and <strong>in</strong>carceration costs were only 75 percent as large as our estimate. In the<br />

recalculations, we assume the costs of provid<strong>in</strong>g the additional education are the same<br />

as <strong>in</strong> our orig<strong>in</strong>al estimates. Table 7.7 shows the range of percentage reductions <strong>in</strong> net<br />

benefits <strong>to</strong> taxpayers across the demographic groups for each <strong>in</strong>crease <strong>in</strong> the level of<br />

education.<br />

Table 7.6<br />

Net <strong>Benefits</strong> <strong>from</strong> Increased Educational Atta<strong>in</strong>ment Among U.S.-Born<br />

Hispanics (2002 $, thousands)<br />

Increase <strong>in</strong> Educational Atta<strong>in</strong>ment Men Women<br />

From high school dropout <strong>to</strong> college graduate 228 190<br />

From high school dropout <strong>to</strong> high school graduate 92 83<br />

From high school graduate <strong>to</strong> some college 50 37<br />

From some college <strong>to</strong> college graduate 90 82<br />

SOURCE: Appendixes B, C, and D.<br />

Table 7.7<br />

Range of Percentage Reduction <strong>in</strong> Net <strong>Benefits</strong> <strong>to</strong> <strong>Taxpayers</strong> If the<br />

Effect of Increased Education Is Reduced 25 Percent<br />

Increase <strong>in</strong> Education Level<br />

Less than high school graduate<br />

<strong>to</strong> high school graduate<br />

High school graduate <strong>to</strong> some<br />

college<br />

Some college <strong>to</strong> bachelor’s<br />

degree or more<br />

Less than high school graduate<br />

<strong>to</strong> bachelor’s degree or more<br />

Percentage Reduction<br />

28 (black man) <strong>to</strong> 34 (Asian man)<br />

29 (black man) <strong>to</strong> 36 (white woman)<br />

32 (black woman) <strong>to</strong> 37 (white woman)<br />

29 (black man) <strong>to</strong> 34 (white woman)

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