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rural-urban dynamics_report.pdf - Khazar University

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104 RURAL-URBAN DISPARITIES AND DYNAMICS GLOBAL MONITORING REPORT 2013<br />

FIGURE 2.9<br />

Population in <strong>rural</strong> areas and employment in agriculture<br />

80<br />

a. Rural population, 2011 b. Employed in agriculture, 2008<br />

80<br />

60<br />

60<br />

Percent<br />

40<br />

Percent<br />

40<br />

20<br />

20<br />

0<br />

East Asia<br />

and<br />

Pacific<br />

Europe<br />

and Central<br />

Asia<br />

Latin<br />

America<br />

and the<br />

Caribbean<br />

Middle<br />

East and<br />

North<br />

Africa<br />

Sub-<br />

Saharan<br />

Africa<br />

South<br />

Asia<br />

OECD<br />

countries<br />

0<br />

East Asia<br />

and<br />

Pacific<br />

Europe<br />

and Central<br />

Asia<br />

Latin<br />

America<br />

and the<br />

Caribbean<br />

Middle<br />

East and<br />

North<br />

Africa<br />

Sub-<br />

Saharan<br />

Africa<br />

South<br />

Asia<br />

OECD<br />

countries<br />

Source: GMR team 2013.<br />

Note: OECD = Organisation for Economic Co-operation and Development.<br />

more diversified with a decrease in the size<br />

of the market up to a threshold, after which<br />

it becomes specialized. They also found that<br />

agricultural commercialization increased<br />

with a decline in the distance to a market.<br />

Rural-<strong>urban</strong> migration<br />

In most developing countries, especially lowincome<br />

ones, <strong>urban</strong> areas symbolize many<br />

good things. They offer better jobs, sufficient<br />

food for children, a respite from toiling on a<br />

farm without a decent income, safe drinking<br />

water, and shorter distances to doctors<br />

and other health care facilities. These attributes<br />

explain why people from <strong>rural</strong> areas<br />

are “pulled” to cities. The “pull” effects,<br />

which work through the <strong>dynamics</strong> of <strong>rural</strong><strong>urban</strong><br />

migration, are an important source<br />

of reductions in <strong>rural</strong> poverty. Through the<br />

natural movement of people, migration has<br />

the potential to move large numbers of poor<br />

people to <strong>urban</strong> areas where they have better<br />

economic opportunities and access to basic<br />

services. In countries where <strong>urban</strong> areas have<br />

benefited from structural transformation,<br />

<strong>rural</strong>-<strong>urban</strong> migration has been instrumental<br />

in moving large numbers of the <strong>rural</strong> poor<br />

to the cities. The extent to which migration<br />

alleviates <strong>rural</strong> poverty depends upon a variety<br />

of factors.<br />

In Sub-Saharan Africa, poverty remains<br />

for now a predominantly <strong>rural</strong> phenomenon,<br />

but <strong>rural</strong> to <strong>urban</strong> migration is playing a<br />

prominent role in reducing overall poverty. In<br />

Kagera, a region in northwestern Tanzania,<br />

between 1991–94 and 2010, more than 50<br />

percent of the <strong>rural</strong> population migrated to<br />

<strong>urban</strong> areas (Beegle, De Weerdt, and Dercon<br />

2011). For more than 45 percent of male but<br />

only 15 percent of female migrants, the main<br />

motivation was to find better-paying work. In<br />

the same study, Beegle, De Weerdt, and Dercon<br />

(2011) looked at consumption levels of<br />

residents of the Kagera region, where agricultural<br />

production of food and a few cash crops<br />

are the mainstay for more than 80 percent of<br />

<strong>rural</strong> residents. On average, they found that<br />

over 19 years, consumption increased by more<br />

than 40 percent for residents who remained<br />

in Kagera, but for those who left, consumption<br />

tripled. Nearly all migrants escaped poverty,<br />

but poverty declined only modestly for<br />

those who remained in <strong>rural</strong> Kagera.<br />

Several studies have estimated the magnitude<br />

of <strong>rural</strong>-<strong>urban</strong> migration for one or<br />

more regions but a global study that provides<br />

consistent estimates for all regions is not

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