rural-urban dynamics_report.pdf - Khazar University
rural-urban dynamics_report.pdf - Khazar University
rural-urban dynamics_report.pdf - Khazar University
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104 RURAL-URBAN DISPARITIES AND DYNAMICS GLOBAL MONITORING REPORT 2013<br />
FIGURE 2.9<br />
Population in <strong>rural</strong> areas and employment in agriculture<br />
80<br />
a. Rural population, 2011 b. Employed in agriculture, 2008<br />
80<br />
60<br />
60<br />
Percent<br />
40<br />
Percent<br />
40<br />
20<br />
20<br />
0<br />
East Asia<br />
and<br />
Pacific<br />
Europe<br />
and Central<br />
Asia<br />
Latin<br />
America<br />
and the<br />
Caribbean<br />
Middle<br />
East and<br />
North<br />
Africa<br />
Sub-<br />
Saharan<br />
Africa<br />
South<br />
Asia<br />
OECD<br />
countries<br />
0<br />
East Asia<br />
and<br />
Pacific<br />
Europe<br />
and Central<br />
Asia<br />
Latin<br />
America<br />
and the<br />
Caribbean<br />
Middle<br />
East and<br />
North<br />
Africa<br />
Sub-<br />
Saharan<br />
Africa<br />
South<br />
Asia<br />
OECD<br />
countries<br />
Source: GMR team 2013.<br />
Note: OECD = Organisation for Economic Co-operation and Development.<br />
more diversified with a decrease in the size<br />
of the market up to a threshold, after which<br />
it becomes specialized. They also found that<br />
agricultural commercialization increased<br />
with a decline in the distance to a market.<br />
Rural-<strong>urban</strong> migration<br />
In most developing countries, especially lowincome<br />
ones, <strong>urban</strong> areas symbolize many<br />
good things. They offer better jobs, sufficient<br />
food for children, a respite from toiling on a<br />
farm without a decent income, safe drinking<br />
water, and shorter distances to doctors<br />
and other health care facilities. These attributes<br />
explain why people from <strong>rural</strong> areas<br />
are “pulled” to cities. The “pull” effects,<br />
which work through the <strong>dynamics</strong> of <strong>rural</strong><strong>urban</strong><br />
migration, are an important source<br />
of reductions in <strong>rural</strong> poverty. Through the<br />
natural movement of people, migration has<br />
the potential to move large numbers of poor<br />
people to <strong>urban</strong> areas where they have better<br />
economic opportunities and access to basic<br />
services. In countries where <strong>urban</strong> areas have<br />
benefited from structural transformation,<br />
<strong>rural</strong>-<strong>urban</strong> migration has been instrumental<br />
in moving large numbers of the <strong>rural</strong> poor<br />
to the cities. The extent to which migration<br />
alleviates <strong>rural</strong> poverty depends upon a variety<br />
of factors.<br />
In Sub-Saharan Africa, poverty remains<br />
for now a predominantly <strong>rural</strong> phenomenon,<br />
but <strong>rural</strong> to <strong>urban</strong> migration is playing a<br />
prominent role in reducing overall poverty. In<br />
Kagera, a region in northwestern Tanzania,<br />
between 1991–94 and 2010, more than 50<br />
percent of the <strong>rural</strong> population migrated to<br />
<strong>urban</strong> areas (Beegle, De Weerdt, and Dercon<br />
2011). For more than 45 percent of male but<br />
only 15 percent of female migrants, the main<br />
motivation was to find better-paying work. In<br />
the same study, Beegle, De Weerdt, and Dercon<br />
(2011) looked at consumption levels of<br />
residents of the Kagera region, where agricultural<br />
production of food and a few cash crops<br />
are the mainstay for more than 80 percent of<br />
<strong>rural</strong> residents. On average, they found that<br />
over 19 years, consumption increased by more<br />
than 40 percent for residents who remained<br />
in Kagera, but for those who left, consumption<br />
tripled. Nearly all migrants escaped poverty,<br />
but poverty declined only modestly for<br />
those who remained in <strong>rural</strong> Kagera.<br />
Several studies have estimated the magnitude<br />
of <strong>rural</strong>-<strong>urban</strong> migration for one or<br />
more regions but a global study that provides<br />
consistent estimates for all regions is not