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rural-urban dynamics_report.pdf - Khazar University

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GLOBAL MONITORING REPORT 2013 MACROECONOMIC, TRADE, AND AID DEVELOPMENTS 51<br />

FIGURE 1.5<br />

Commodity price indexes<br />

400<br />

350<br />

Index (2003Q1 = 100)<br />

300<br />

250<br />

200<br />

150<br />

100<br />

50<br />

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4<br />

2003<br />

2004<br />

2005<br />

2006<br />

2007<br />

2008<br />

Quarter, year<br />

2009<br />

2010<br />

2011<br />

Fuel All commodities Cereals Nonfuel Food<br />

2012<br />

2013<br />

(projected)<br />

Source: World Economic Outlook.<br />

Note: Indexes are in U.S. dollars.<br />

FIGURE 1.6<br />

Changes in commodity prices and changes in GDP per capita, terms of trade, and inflation<br />

40<br />

a. Changes in commodity prices<br />

12<br />

b. Changes in GDP per capita, terms of trade, and<br />

inflation in emerging market and developing countries a<br />

20<br />

8<br />

4<br />

Percent<br />

0<br />

Percent<br />

0<br />

–20<br />

–4<br />

–8<br />

–40<br />

2007–08 2009 2010–11 2012 2013<br />

(projected)<br />

Food Fuel Metal Agricultural raw materials Real GDP per capita<br />

Terms of trade<br />

Inflation<br />

–12<br />

2007–08 2009 2010–11 2012 2013<br />

(projected)<br />

Median, real GDP per capita growth<br />

Median, terms of trade growth<br />

Median, inflation<br />

Source: World Economic Outlook.<br />

Note: Bars represent the range between the 25th and 75th percentiles.<br />

a. Annual changes in percent; for 2007–08 and 2010–11, it is the average of annual changes in percent.

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