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Russian Nuclear Weapons: Past, Present, and Future

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Medvedev announced in May 2010 substantially increased<br />

that spending to 13 trillion rubles or $420 billion,<br />

more than doubling the preceding figure. But, as<br />

Frolov said, this would essentially deprive the Army<br />

<strong>and</strong> Navy of funding for procurement that would allow<br />

it to make up for a generation of neglect. Instead<br />

he advocated an increase of the program to 36 trillion<br />

rubles for the entire armed forces or $1.161 trillion<br />

over the 2011-20 decade. If this proposal was unacceptable,<br />

then at a minimum a program costing 28 trillion<br />

rubles or $920 billion would allow the Army to<br />

rearm. 31<br />

Although many Duma deputies, officials, <strong>and</strong><br />

commentators, including Deputy Prime Minister Sergei<br />

Ivanov who formerly supervised defense industry,<br />

derided Frolov’s dem<strong>and</strong>s as wishful thinking, he<br />

did in fact prevail. Vladimir Popovkin, Frolov’s boss,<br />

told audiences at the Farnborough Show that the government<br />

would spend 20 trillion rubles or $620 billion<br />

more on procurement, less than Frolov asked for,<br />

but still a large increase. Under these revised figures,<br />

spending on research <strong>and</strong> development (R&D) <strong>and</strong><br />

procurement will exceed $50 billion annually. Perhaps<br />

more importantly, total <strong>Russian</strong> defense spending may<br />

reach 4-5 percent of GDP, more than any other major<br />

power <strong>and</strong> a sign of creeping structural militarization.<br />

Neither can we doubt the high rate of defense spending<br />

in the annual budget. 32 Finance Minister Alexei<br />

Kudrin recently conceded that budgetary outlays on<br />

national defense would rise in 2010 by 13.3 percent,<br />

while spending on national security <strong>and</strong> law enforcement<br />

would go up by 8.8 percent. The overall rise in<br />

those sectors through 2013 will be 22.1 percent. Since<br />

spending on health care, culture, cinematography, <strong>and</strong><br />

education are also going up by hefty amounts, general<br />

303

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