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Russian Nuclear Weapons: Past, Present, and Future

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arsenal, as well as approximately an equal number in<br />

the U.S. inactive stockpile. These TNWs consist of B61-<br />

3 <strong>and</strong> B61-4 nuclear gravity bombs for airplanes (some<br />

at U.S. air bases in Europe) <strong>and</strong> nuclear-armed submarine-launched<br />

Tomahawk l<strong>and</strong>-attack cruise missiles<br />

(TLAM-N) deployed at secure l<strong>and</strong> facilities in the<br />

United States. 4 The Obama administration’s <strong>Nuclear</strong><br />

Posture Review Report, published in April 2010, decided<br />

to retire the TLAM-N after the Japanese Government<br />

indicated that Tokyo no longer saw that particular<br />

weapon system—as opposed to other U.S. nuclear<br />

<strong>and</strong> conventional forces—as essential for maintaining<br />

the credibility of U.S. extended deterrence guarantees<br />

for Japan. 5<br />

The U.S. Armed Forces have been dramatically reducing<br />

their holdings of TNWs because the advent of<br />

precision-guided conventional munitions has reduced<br />

the number of missions that might require nuclear<br />

warheads. In addition, an important role for TNWs—<br />

defending NATO allies in Europe from the large<br />

conventional militaries of the Soviet bloc—vanished<br />

with the end of the Cold War. Furthermore, many<br />

U.S. comm<strong>and</strong>ers <strong>and</strong> civilian strategists doubt that<br />

the American President or other senior civilian <strong>and</strong><br />

military leaders would authorize the use of a nuclear<br />

weapon except under the most extreme circumstances.<br />

The U.S. military has preferred to redirect monetary<br />

<strong>and</strong> other resources to researching <strong>and</strong> developing<br />

conventional weapons whose use is more likely. At<br />

present, the main factor sustaining the U.S. TNWs is<br />

to meet NATO’s formal requirements for such weapons,<br />

make U.S. extended nuclear deterrence guarantees<br />

appear more credible to countries that might otherwise<br />

decide to pursue their own nuclear weapons,<br />

<strong>and</strong> have some nonstrategic assets to trade away in<br />

any TNW negotiations with Moscow.<br />

370

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