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Russian Nuclear Weapons: Past, Present, and Future

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To begin with, the doctrine defines how these terms<br />

are used: a military danger is “a state of interstate or<br />

intrastate relations characterized by an aggregate of<br />

factors that can, under certain conditions, lead to the<br />

emergence of a military threat.” Whereas a military<br />

threat is:<br />

a state of interstate or intrastate relations, characterized<br />

by the real possibility of the emergence of a military<br />

conflict between opposing sides, a high degree of<br />

readiness of some state (group of states) or separatist<br />

(terrorist) organizations for the use of military forces<br />

(violence with the use of weaponry). 52<br />

In other words, in certain situations the former<br />

may evolve into the latter more serious scenario.<br />

Dangers <strong>and</strong> Threats.<br />

These dangers are delineated into 11 points. Pole<br />

position, as already noted, is given to NATO (in<br />

the 2000 doctrine not specified, only referred to as a<br />

“bloc”), especially the aim of assigning global functions<br />

to the Alliance, both violating international law<br />

<strong>and</strong> moving relentlessly towards Russia’s borders by<br />

its expansion; attempts to destabilize individual states<br />

or regions, or undermine strategic stability; deployment<br />

or build-up of foreign troops on the territories<br />

or waters of states contiguous with Russia <strong>and</strong> its allies;<br />

creating <strong>and</strong> planning to deploy strategic missile<br />

defense systems to undermine global stability <strong>and</strong><br />

nuclear parity, militarizing outer-space <strong>and</strong> the deployment<br />

of strategic non-nuclear precision weapon<br />

systems; territorial claims on Russia or its allies <strong>and</strong><br />

interference in their internal affairs; proliferation of<br />

weapons of masss destruction (WMD), missiles, <strong>and</strong><br />

related technology, <strong>and</strong> the increase in nuclear weap-<br />

57

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