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Russian Nuclear Weapons: Past, Present, and Future

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Brazil, China, Japan, South Korea, India, Indonesia,<br />

Saudi Arabia, Russia, Turkey, France, Germany, Italy,<br />

the UK, Australia, <strong>and</strong> the European Union) major<br />

powers, despite its insufficiencies in non-nuclear<br />

forces. For the United States <strong>and</strong> its NATO allies, the<br />

impression of nuclear-strategic parity, as between the<br />

United States <strong>and</strong> Russia, should make Russia a more<br />

reliable partner for resolving conflicts short of war.<br />

In case of an outbreak of conventional war in or near<br />

Europe, Russia’s self-confidence, as a strategic nuclear<br />

partner of the United States, might delay Russia’s<br />

reach for its nuclear means of threat or actual nuclear<br />

use. Absent this reassurance, the gap between <strong>Russian</strong><br />

<strong>and</strong> U.S.-NATO conventional forces creates a perilous<br />

temptation for prompt nuclear threat or use, once<br />

conventional war has begun. Into this double helix of<br />

escalation ladders fall U.S.-NATO <strong>and</strong> <strong>Russian</strong> substrategic<br />

nuclear weapons.<br />

Sub-strategic <strong>Weapons</strong> <strong>and</strong> Alliance Politics.<br />

The conclusion <strong>and</strong> eventual ratification of New<br />

START will leave unsettled the status of sub-strategic<br />

nuclear weapons deployed by the United States <strong>and</strong><br />

Russia in Europe. Sub-strategic weapons are those<br />

deployed on other than strategic launchers, i.e., missiles<br />

or bombers of less than intercontinental range. In<br />

practice, this includes delivery systems at or below the<br />

outer limit of intermediate range missiles (5,500 kilometers),<br />

sometimes referred to as “battlefield,” “tactical,”<br />

“operational,” or “theater” missiles depending<br />

on actual ranges. U.S. sub-strategic nuclear weapons<br />

are presently located in five other NATO member<br />

countries: Belgium, Germany, Italy, the Netherl<strong>and</strong>s,<br />

<strong>and</strong> Turkey. The rationale for these forward deployed<br />

429

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