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Synthesis of Safety for Traffic Operations - Transports Canada

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Section<br />

TABLE 9.10: <strong>Safety</strong> Impacts <strong>of</strong> 2WLTL<br />

Length Be<strong>for</strong>e<br />

After<br />

(km) # AWDT Rate # AWDT Rate<br />

CMF<br />

1 0.5 49 22,390 4.17 12 + 23,050 2.98 0.71<br />

2 0.5 63 22,560 5.32 11 + 22,030 2.86 0.54<br />

3 0.4 114 24,190 11.23 32* 22,470 5.09 0.45<br />

4 0.6 100 19,900 7.98 23* 19,400 2.83 0.35<br />

Avg. 0.51<br />

*Two years <strong>of</strong> data<br />

+ one year <strong>of</strong> data<br />

Yagar and Van Aerde (1984)<br />

Yagar and Van Aerde (1984) studied the safety impacts <strong>of</strong> 2WLTLs on jurisdictions<br />

across <strong>Canada</strong> and the United States. Data was collected from road authorities via a<br />

survey, hence the configuration <strong>of</strong> the 2WLTLs and the settings in which they were<br />

implemented are expected to vary greatly within the dataset. Nonetheless, crash data was<br />

supplied <strong>for</strong> 30 road sections that had been provided with a 2WLTL.<br />

The study methodology was a naïve be<strong>for</strong>e-after study using crash frequency. The results<br />

are shown in Table 9.11.<br />

TABLE 9.11: <strong>Safety</strong> Impacts <strong>of</strong> 2WLTL in North America<br />

Crash Type No. <strong>of</strong> Sites<br />

No. <strong>of</strong> Crashes<br />

Be<strong>for</strong>e After<br />

CMF<br />

Left-turn from<br />

2WLTL<br />

14 130 83 0.64<br />

Left-turn into<br />

2WLTL<br />

13 59 46 0.78<br />

Left-turn from<br />

2WLTL with leftturn<br />

18 174 112 0.64<br />

into 2WLTL<br />

No left-turn involved 21 817 513 0.62<br />

All crashes 30 2479 1788 0.72<br />

The analysis presented in the Yagar and Van Aerde study fails to account <strong>for</strong> exposure.<br />

However, elsewhere in the paper the authors examine the pre and post traffic volumes on<br />

the 2WLTL equipped streets, and the general trend appears to be an increase in traffic.<br />

This would mean the results <strong>of</strong> this study are conservative. The researchers did not<br />

gather any in<strong>for</strong>mation on site selection processes, so the potential and magnitude <strong>of</strong> any<br />

regression-to-the-mean effects are unknown.<br />

Page 116

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