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Synthesis of Safety for Traffic Operations - Transports Canada

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<strong>Synthesis</strong> <strong>of</strong> <strong>Safety</strong> <strong>for</strong> <strong>Traffic</strong> <strong>Operations</strong> March 2003<br />

include only the crashes that occurred during the same months as was available in the<br />

“after” period.<br />

The results <strong>of</strong> the Tribbett et al study are shown in Table 4.7.<br />

Crash<br />

Type<br />

Casualty<br />

crashes<br />

PDO<br />

crashes<br />

All<br />

crashes<br />

TABLE 4.7: <strong>Safety</strong> Effects <strong>of</strong> Dynamic Curve Warning Sign Systems<br />

Period<br />

Site<br />

1 2 3 4 5<br />

All<br />

Be<strong>for</strong>e 2.0 .4 0 0.4 0.4 3.2<br />

After 2 0 2 0 0 4<br />

CMF 1.00 --- --- --- --- 1.25<br />

Be<strong>for</strong>e 1.4 1.2 0.8 1.2 1 5.6<br />

After 1 2 2 0 0 5<br />

CMF 0.71 1.67 2.50 --- --- 0.89<br />

Be<strong>for</strong>e 3.4 1.6 0.8 1.6 1.4 8.8<br />

After 3 2 4 0 0 9<br />

CMF 0.88 1.25 5.00 --- --- 1.02<br />

The “after” period in the Tribett et al study is too short to be representative <strong>of</strong> the stable<br />

long-term crash record that might be expected at these sites post-sign installation.<br />

Furthermore, exposure has not been accounted <strong>for</strong> in the analysis.<br />

Close-following Warning Signs<br />

Helliar-Symon and Ray (1986)<br />

Helliar-Symon and Ray (1986) in a follow-up to an early study examined the safety<br />

impacts <strong>of</strong> active warning signs <strong>for</strong> following too close. The treatment was a roadside<br />

sign that displayed the message “Following Too Closely” or “Too Close Move Apart”<br />

when the gap between vehicles was less than 1.6 seconds. The sign was blanked out<br />

when not in use; the active message was supplemented with four flashing amber beacons<br />

(one at each corner <strong>of</strong> the rectangular sign) that flashed in an alternating pattern. The<br />

message was visible from the detector that measured the gap between vehicles, was<br />

illuminated as soon as an inadequate gap was detected, and remained lit <strong>for</strong> two seconds.<br />

The study methodology was a be<strong>for</strong>e-after analysis using a control group. Treatment and<br />

control sites were selected on the basis <strong>of</strong> a high number <strong>of</strong> close-following crashes, and<br />

<strong>for</strong> their suitability to accept the device installation. The metric used is injury-crash<br />

frequency, using two years <strong>of</strong> be<strong>for</strong>e data and four years <strong>of</strong> after data at three sites. The<br />

crash frequency was measured downstream <strong>of</strong> the sign installation, where the impact is<br />

likely to be realized. Either separate sites, or road sections upstream <strong>of</strong> the sign were<br />

used as control sites. The aggregated crash records from all three sites are shown in<br />

Table 4.8.<br />

Page 67

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