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Synthesis of Safety for Traffic Operations - Transports Canada

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Intersection Control<br />

TABLE 3.32: Night-time Crash Frequency at Locations with Modified Signal<br />

Heads in BC<br />

Crash type Be<strong>for</strong>e<br />

After<br />

Year 1 Year 2 Year 3<br />

Angle 1 3 0 1<br />

Left turn 3 1 1 0<br />

Right turn 1 1 0 0<br />

Rear end 7 2 3 0<br />

Overtaking 0 1 0 0<br />

Off road 0 1 1 1<br />

Unknown 2 5 0 1<br />

Total 14 14 5 3<br />

<strong>Traffic</strong> volumes were not used in the analysis, but showed an average increase <strong>of</strong> 2% per<br />

year. The researchers note that the sample size is small, and the analysis methodology is<br />

suspect. Nonetheless, there are apparently overall benefits, particularly in reducing rearend<br />

crashes.<br />

Region <strong>of</strong> Waterloo (2001)<br />

As part <strong>of</strong> an ongoing program the Region <strong>of</strong> Waterloo, Ontario routinely assesses the<br />

street system <strong>for</strong> locations with an elevated risk <strong>for</strong> motor vehicle crashes, and<br />

implements appropriate countermeasures. The Region <strong>of</strong> Waterloo (2001) reports that in<br />

1998 two locations were provided with new signal heads and revised signal timings to<br />

improve safety. The results as shown in Table 3.33.<br />

TABLE 3.33: <strong>Safety</strong> Effects <strong>of</strong> New Signal Heads in Waterloo, Ontario<br />

Location<br />

Crash Frequency<br />

Be<strong>for</strong>e After<br />

CMF<br />

A* 24 12 0.50<br />

B 34 13 0.38<br />

Average 29 12.5 0.43<br />

* - Site A also had a right-turn lane added to one approach<br />

The Waterloo analysis is a naïve be<strong>for</strong>e-after study <strong>of</strong> crash frequency using one-year <strong>of</strong><br />

be<strong>for</strong>e and one year <strong>of</strong> after data. It is impossible to separate out the effects that may be<br />

attributed to the new signal heads, from the effects that may be attributed to the revised<br />

signal timing. Furthermore, the changes were made, at least in part, because these<br />

locations had an aberrant crash record. The results are very unreliable due to a failure to<br />

account regression-to-the-mean, the limited sample size, and the failure to account <strong>for</strong><br />

exposure.<br />

Page 40

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