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Synthesis of Safety for Traffic Operations - Transports Canada

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Intersection Control<br />

TABLE 3.54: CMFs <strong>for</strong> Adding Left-Turn Phasing (Thomas and Smith)<br />

Crash Type Mean # Sites<br />

90% Confidence Intervals<br />

Lower Upper<br />

Fatal N/A 0 N/A N/A<br />

Major 0.78 3 2.58<br />

Severity Minor 0.50 4 1.01 0.00<br />

Possible 0.63 4 1.35<br />

PDO 0.71 4 1.19 0.24<br />

Right-angle 0.70 3 1.24 0.15<br />

Impact Type<br />

Rear-end 1.00 4 1.80 0.20<br />

Left-turn 0.49 4 1.05<br />

Other 1.60 4 2.75 0.45<br />

Total 0.64 4 0.77 0.52<br />

In the same study, Thomas and Smith investigated the effects <strong>of</strong> adding turn phasing in<br />

conjunction with adding an exclusive left-turn lane(s). The study methodology was<br />

similar, a total <strong>of</strong> seven sites were investigated. The results are as shown in Table 3.55.<br />

TABLE 3.55: CMFs <strong>for</strong> Adding Left-Turn Phasing and Turn Lanes (Thomas and<br />

Smith)<br />

Crash Type Mean # Sites<br />

90% Confidence Intervals<br />

Lower Upper<br />

Fatal 0.00 2 N/A N/A<br />

Major 0.15 5 0.34<br />

Severity Minor 0.25 6 0.34 0.17<br />

Possible 0.49 7 0.66 0.32<br />

PDO 0.43 7 0.58 0.28<br />

Right-angle 0.48 7 0.72 0.23<br />

Impact Type<br />

Rear-end 0.63 7 0.97 0.28<br />

Left-turn 0.27 7 0.38 0.16<br />

Other 0.55 7 0.74 0.37<br />

Total 0.42 7 0.54 0.30<br />

The results indicate that the addition <strong>of</strong> left-turn phasing in conjunction with exclusive<br />

turn lanes yields safety benefits in all categories, except <strong>for</strong> fatal crashes where no<br />

statistically significant findings are available.<br />

Chin and Quddus (2001)<br />

Chin and Quddus (2001) developed crash prediction models <strong>for</strong> four-legged, signalized<br />

intersections using eight years <strong>of</strong> crash data from 52 intersections in Singapore. The<br />

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