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Synthesis of Safety for Traffic Operations - Transports Canada

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<strong>Synthesis</strong> <strong>of</strong> <strong>Safety</strong> <strong>for</strong> <strong>Traffic</strong> <strong>Operations</strong> March 2003<br />

TABLE 3.36: <strong>Safety</strong> Impacts <strong>of</strong> An Additional Primary Signal Head<br />

Crash<br />

Crash Rate (/MVE)<br />

Intersection<br />

Frequency<br />

Fatal &<br />

Type<br />

Total<br />

PDO<br />

(/intersection/yr)<br />

Injury<br />

One Primary<br />

Head<br />

23.1 1.30 0.44 0.86<br />

Two Primary<br />

Heads<br />

19.7 1.02 0.40 0.62<br />

CMF 0.78 0.91 0.72<br />

In the be<strong>for</strong>e-after analysis, eight intersections in Richmond, British Columbia that are<br />

outfitted with additional 30/20/20 primary signal heads were studied. One or two year<br />

be<strong>for</strong>e and after periods was employed depending on date <strong>of</strong> installation and availability<br />

<strong>of</strong> data. The researchers employed Empirical Bayes, and Multi-variate Empirical Bayes<br />

methods to assess the effects <strong>of</strong> the second primary signal head. The results are shown in<br />

Table 3.37.<br />

TABLE 3.37: CMFs <strong>for</strong> Additional Primary Signal Heads<br />

CMF<br />

Statistical<br />

Fatal & Injury<br />

Method Total Crashes<br />

PDO Crashes<br />

Crashes<br />

EB 0.78 0.79 0.64<br />

Multi-variate<br />

EB<br />

0.72 0.83 0.69<br />

The results <strong>of</strong> the cross-section and be<strong>for</strong>e-after studies are consistent and indicate a<br />

likely reduction in total crashes <strong>of</strong> 20 to 30%, and a reduction in casualty crashes <strong>of</strong> 10 to<br />

20%.<br />

Lens Size<br />

Polanis (1998)<br />

Polanis (1998) reviewed the safety impacts <strong>of</strong> replacing eight-inch traffic signal lenses<br />

with 12-inch lenses at 38 locations in Winston-Salem, NC. None <strong>of</strong> the locations<br />

warranted the larger lenses, as determined by the MUTCD; sites were selected on the<br />

basis <strong>of</strong> a pattern <strong>of</strong> crashes that could be remedied. The study uses a naïve be<strong>for</strong>e-after<br />

study <strong>of</strong> collision frequency with no accounting <strong>for</strong> exposure.<br />

Page 43

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