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Synthesis of Safety for Traffic Operations - Transports Canada

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<strong>Traffic</strong> Signs<br />

Only nine <strong>of</strong> the sites were treated with chevrons only, the remaining sites had<br />

complementary improvements including raised pavement markings, post mounted<br />

delineators, new or relocated traffic signs, pavement markings, etc.<br />

The evaluation methodology was a be<strong>for</strong>e-after analysis with some control <strong>for</strong> overall<br />

crash trends. The report indicates that an “expected” number <strong>of</strong> crashes is calculated by<br />

adjusting the “be<strong>for</strong>e” data with local crash trends. It is not specifically stated how this<br />

was done. The average “be<strong>for</strong>e” period <strong>for</strong> collision data was 5.3 years; the average<br />

“after” period was 3.1 years. The analysis yielded the CMFs shown in Table 4.6.<br />

TABLE 4.6: <strong>Safety</strong> Impacts <strong>of</strong> Chevron Signs in New Zealand<br />

CMF<br />

Crash Type<br />

Urban<br />

Open Road<br />

Area<br />

All 0.52 0.46<br />

Lost Control 0.57 0.38<br />

Head-on 0.24 0.31<br />

Day 0.63 0.55<br />

Night 0.33 0.33<br />

Twilight 0.79 0.73<br />

Fatal 0.30 0.33<br />

Serious 0.26 0.48<br />

Minor 0.77 0.45<br />

All sites combined yielded a CMF <strong>of</strong> 0.51. Statistical testing establishes 95% confidence<br />

intervals <strong>of</strong> 0.70 to 0.32.<br />

Tribbett et al (2000)<br />

The Cali<strong>for</strong>nia Department <strong>of</strong> Transportation investigated the safety effectiveness <strong>of</strong><br />

dynamic curve warning sign systems at five locations. The treatment was the erection <strong>of</strong><br />

a changeable message sign (CMS) that is connected to a radar speed-measuring device,<br />

and detection equipment. The CMSs were 10 feet wide by seven feet high and are full<br />

matrix light-emitting diodes. The message to be displays varies but is generally related to<br />

either the advisory speed <strong>of</strong> the downstream curve, or the operating speed <strong>of</strong> the<br />

approaching vehicle.<br />

The study methodology is a naïve be<strong>for</strong>e-after analysis <strong>of</strong> crash frequency. Crashes that<br />

occurred from the (proposed) CMS location to one-tenth <strong>of</strong> a mile downstream <strong>of</strong> the end<br />

<strong>of</strong> the curve were included in the analysis. The evaluation was undertaken about seven<br />

months after sign installation, so the “after” data period is very short. To account <strong>for</strong><br />

seasonal variations in crash data, the available five years <strong>of</strong> “be<strong>for</strong>e” data was culled to<br />

Page 66

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