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316 R. Kemp Shove E, Walker G (2008) Transition management and the politics of shape shifting. Environ Plann A 40:1012–1014 Smith A, Kern F (2007) The transitions discourse in the ecological modernisation of the Netherlands. Working Paper Series, no. 160 Smith A, Kern F (2009) The transitions story line in Dutch environmental policy. Env Polit 18(1):78-–98 Smith A, Stirling A (2008) Social-ecological resilience and socio-technical transitions: critical issues for sustainability governance. STEPS Centre Working Paper. University of Sussex Smith A, Stirling A, Berkhout F (2005) The governance of sustainable sociotechnical transitions. Res Policy 34:1491–1510 Smits R, Kuhlman S (2004) The rise of systemic instruments in innovation policy. International Journal of Foresight and Innovation Policy (IJFIP) 1(1/2):4–32 Spaargaren G (2003) Sustainable consumption: a theoretical and environmental policy perspective. Soc Nat Resour 16:687–701 Spaargaren G, Mommaas H, van den Burg S, Maas L, Drissen E, Dagevos H, Bargeman B, Putman L, Nijhuis J, Verbeek D, Sargant E (2007) Duurzamer Leefstijlen en Consumptiepatronen: een theoretisch perspectief voor de analyse van transitieprocessen binnen consumptiedomeinen. Onderzoeksrapport TMB-project, Environmental Policy Group Wageningen Universiteit/Milieu Natuur Planbureau/Tilburg Universiteit Telos/Landbouw Economisch Instituut Staatscourant (2008) Instellingsbesluit van het Regieorgaan Energietransitie Nederland, Staatscourant 25 Feb 2008, nr. 39, p.39 Verbong G (2000) De Nederlandse overheid en energietransities: een historisch perspectief.’ (Translation: The Dutch government and energy transitions: a historical perspective), background document for the report “Transitions and transition management” (Rotmans et al. 2000), Eindhoven, The Netherlands Verbong GPJ, Geels FW (2007) The ongoing energy transition: lessons from a socio-technical, multi-level analysis of the Dutch electricity system (1960–2004). Energ Pol 35(2):1025–1037 Verbong GPJ, Geels FW (2008) Pathyways for sustainability transitions in the electricity sector: a multilevel analysis and empirical illustration IEEE. IEEE, Rotterdam Weterings (2006) Quick scan koplopersloket. Een evaluatie van werkwijze, output en effecten, Competentie Centrum Transities
Int Econ Econ Policy (2010) 7:317–341 DOI 10.1007/s10368-010-0167-7 ORIGINAL PAPER Multi-agent modeling of economic innovation dynamics and its implications for analyzing emission impacts Frank Beckenbach & Ramón Briegel Published online: 16 June 2010 # Springer-Verlag 2010 Abstract In this elaboration we focus on the role of multi-agent systems as a tool for modeling economic dynamics. Hence, at the beginning the specific features of this tool are considered. Taking the example of explaining the relationship between innovations and economic growth it will be shown after that how the tool of multiagent modeling can be used for the following purposes: (1) for explaining the occurrence of innovations, (2) for specifying the effects these innovations have on economic growth, (3) for linking emission impacts to this growth and finally (4) for exemplarily assessing political options to reduce these impacts. Keywords Innovation . Economic growth . Simulation . Multi-agent model . Rebound effect . Emission abatement 1 Introduction Undoubtedly many of the observable impacts on ecological systems (e.g. depletion of minerals and species, emissions and waste) can be derived from economic activities. But the relationship between the two is far from being fully clarified in scientific analysis. Either the focus on this impact perspective and/or lack of economic knowledge often leads to a specific framing of economic analysis in this environmental context: Firstly, only economic aggregates (like gross domestic product) and their dynamics are considered; secondly, this analysis is normally carried out by using computable modeling frame works (like computable general equilibrium models). What is missing in such a framework is a realistic Role of the funding source This article is based on research conducted within the research project “2nd order innovations? An actor oriented analysis of the genesis of knowledge and institutions in regional innovation systems”, which was funded by the VolkswagenStiftung, Germany. F. Beckenbach (*) : R. Briegel Faculty of Economics, Department of Ecological and Behavioral Economics, University of Kassel, Untere Königsstraße 71, 34109 Kassel, Germany e-mail: beckenbach@wirtschaft.uni-kassel.de
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