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The Road to Afghanistan - George Washington University

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violating their sacred duty.”Osadchiy burst in<strong>to</strong> laughter. Orlov-Morozov joined in. Volodya patted Valery on theshoulder. <strong>The</strong>y heated more tea, and switched the discussion <strong>to</strong> wisdom from ancientliterature. “You remember the Ecclesiastes: ‘what has been will be again, what has beendone will be done again; there is nothing new under the sun,” Osadchiy rounded out their<strong>to</strong>ur through the depths of human wisdom before returning <strong>to</strong> the <strong>to</strong>pic at hand. “I agreewith the pessimistic view that you’ve formulated, Valera. I also think <strong>Afghanistan</strong> is on theverge of war. It won’t be a civil war, with representatives of one social class fightingrepresentatives of another class. It won’t be a war where the exploited fight against theiroppressors. This will be a war of the majority of the people against the ruling regime. As theevent in Herat demonstrated, Khalqis will find it increasingly difficult <strong>to</strong> find sufficientsupport in the armed forces and police. I think that our task now is <strong>to</strong> provide informationthat would not shock the Moscow leadership, but that would carefully bring them <strong>to</strong>understand the absurdity of Taraki and Amin’s chimerical designs, as well as the stupidityof the analyses from some of our party advisers. In connection with this, we should preparea detailed analytical paper that would provide a foundation for this sort of prognosis in thenear future. It should not be classified Top Secret. <strong>The</strong> goal is <strong>to</strong> get as many people <strong>to</strong> readit as possible. Let’s educate our leadership before presenting them with an argument. What<strong>to</strong>pic do you think we should select for this document?”“Taking in<strong>to</strong> consideration that the Muslim clergy was the primary driving force inthe Herat uprising, I think we should address the influence of fundamental Islam and theMuslim clergy on the development of the situation in <strong>Afghanistan</strong>,” suggested Khotyaev.“Do we have enough information about that?” asked Orlov-Morozov cautiously.402

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