Medical Hydrology and Balneology: Environmental Aspects

Temperature and relative air humidity as
predictors in forecasting of admissions to the
emergency department
Boniek-Poprawa D (1) , Kowerski M (1) , Marczewski K (1)
(1) University of Management and Administration. Zamo. Poland
krzysztofmarczewski@onet.pl
Introduction and Objectives
The influence of weather on health is so widely known as the Insufficient studied.
Meanwhile, at least half of us have a clinically significant sensitivity to weather.
However, the results obtained in one area climate or one country cannot be
automatically transferred to another. We would like to present an analysis of such a
relationship in the hospital on the border of the European Union and also on the
border of the continental climate.
Materials and Methods
1.A retrospective analysis of almost 100 000 admissions three successive years,
and weather factors on the basis of archival weather data from meteorological
stations.
2.The construction of alternative models taking into account the social and organizational
factors
3. Verification of the best model in a prospective study
Results
Was established at least 10 models satisfactorily correlated with weather factors
receptions. The best model that accounts in addition to organizational and social
factors, only a relative air humidity and temperature has been confirmed in a prospective
study in 2011, describes 90% of the variability of admissions to hospital,
where the weather accounts for 20% of the variation
Conclusions
Accurate weather forecast can be useful in organizing the work of the hospital
Keywords: Weather, Hospital Admissions, Air Humidity. Air Temperature, Emergency
Department.
Balnea
2012, núm. 6, 418
418
ISBN: 978-84-669-1887-0
978-84-669-3482-4