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MERCURY 194<br />

2. HEALTH EFFECTS<br />

model is, there<strong>for</strong>e, of great importance, <strong>and</strong> model validation is essential to the use of PBPK models in risk<br />

assessment.<br />

PBPK models improve the pharmacokinetic extrapolations used in risk assessments that identify the<br />

maximal (i.e., the safe) levels <strong>for</strong> human exposure to chemical substances (Andersen <strong>and</strong> Krishnan 1994).<br />

PBPK models provide a scientifically sound means to predict the target tissue dose of chemicals in humans<br />

who are exposed to environmental levels (<strong>for</strong> example, levels that might occur at hazardous waste sites)<br />

based on the results of studies where doses were higher or were administered in different species.<br />

Figure 2-4 shows a conceptualized representation of a PBPK model.<br />

PBPK models <strong>for</strong> mercury exist, <strong>and</strong> the overall results <strong>and</strong> individual models are discussed in this section<br />

in terms of their use in risk assessment, tissue dosimetry, <strong>and</strong> dose, route, <strong>and</strong> species extrapolations.<br />

2.3.5.1 Summary of PBPK Models<br />

Two physiologically based pharmacokinetic models have been developed recently that model the kinetics of<br />

methylmercury in rats. Farris et al. (1993) developed a PBPK model that simulates the long-term<br />

disposition of methylmercury <strong>and</strong> its primary biotrans<strong>for</strong>mation product, mercuric mercury, in the male<br />

Sprague-Dawley rat following a single oral nontoxic exposure. Gray (1995) developed a PBPK model that<br />

simulates the kinetics of methylmercury in the pregnant rat <strong>and</strong> fetus. The Gray model was developed to<br />

provide fetal <strong>and</strong> maternal organ methylmercury concentration-time profiles <strong>for</strong> any maternal dosing<br />

regimen. These model provide useful insight into the key physiological processes that determine the<br />

distribution <strong>and</strong> fate of mercury in the body, but neither model is currently being used in human risk<br />

assessment.<br />

2.3.5.2 Mercury PBPK Model Comparison<br />

Both the Farris et al. (1993) <strong>and</strong> the Gray (1995) PBPK models address the kinetics of methylmercury in<br />

rats. Both models provide useful insights into important physiological processes determining methylmercury<br />

distribution <strong>and</strong> changes in tissue concentrations. Also, both studies suggest further work to<br />

enhance the utility <strong>and</strong> accuracy of the models The Farris et al. model dealt more effectively with the<br />

conversion of methylmercury to mercuric mercury, while the Gray model specifically addressed fetal tissue<br />

concentrations as a function of maternal exposures <strong>and</strong> the extrapolation from short-term to continuous

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