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MERCURY 467<br />

5. POTENTIAL FOR HUMAN EXPOSURE<br />

freshwater sportfish, <strong>and</strong> marine fish <strong>and</strong> shellfish, the methylmercury content of which were characterized<br />

by national distribution statistics, as were the consumption rates <strong>for</strong> marine fish. The consumption rates <strong>for</strong><br />

freshwater fish were specific to the region. The fish portion size was linked to body mass by a variable<br />

correlation. Each meal was assumed to be an independent sample, so that as metabolic equilibrium was<br />

approached, each person’s body burden of methylmercury tended to approach the value corresponding to the<br />

mean methylmercury intake <strong>for</strong> the population. Predictions of methylmercury levels in hair by this model<br />

compared well with an observed distribution in 1,437 women. Two neurological end points were examined:<br />

adult paresthesia as related to methylmercury body burden <strong>and</strong> congenital neurological effects as associated<br />

with average concentrations of methylmercury in maternal hair during pregnancy. In the baseline exposure<br />

scenario, the source of the mercury in fish was background atmospheric deposition. In the worst-case<br />

scenario, local mercury deposition <strong>and</strong> concentrations in fish were roughly doubled to represent additional<br />

deposition from the hypothetical power plant. For both scenarios, the 99th percentile of methylmercury<br />

body burden was more than an order of magnitude below the lowest level at which increased transient<br />

paresthesia in adults was experienced in an acute methylmercury poisoning incident in Iraq. The authors<br />

concluded that neurological risks to adults from methylmercury resulting from atmospheric deposition are<br />

negligible. Based on three epidemiological studies of congenital neurological risks, they found that fetal<br />

effects appeared to be more critical, <strong>and</strong> that there is a smaller margin of safety <strong>for</strong> pregnant consumers of<br />

freshwater sportfish. However, there is still a considerable margin of safety, <strong>and</strong> uncertainties in the<br />

relationships between maternal hair mercury <strong>and</strong> actual fetal exposures may have overstated the fetal risk<br />

(Lipfert et al. 1996).<br />

Recreational <strong>and</strong> Subsistence Fishers. Methylmercury concentrations in sport fish can be at least<br />

an order of magnitude higher than in commercial fish purchased in a supermarket (see Section 5.4.4).<br />

There<strong>for</strong>e, recreational <strong>and</strong> subsistence fishers, including some Native American peoples who consume<br />

locally caught fish from mercury-contaminated waterbodies or consume long-lived predatory oceanic species<br />

such as shark <strong>and</strong> swordfish, can be exposed to higher mercury concentrations than individuals who<br />

consume similar amounts of commercially marketed fish from a variety of sources (Ebert et al. 1996; EPA<br />

1995k). The exposure to mercury will also be higher among people who regularly eat fish <strong>and</strong> other seafood<br />

products, compared to those who only occasionally or never eat fish or other seafood products. This<br />

increased exposure has been demonstrated by blood mercury levels several times higher in people who<br />

regularly eat fish, compared to those who occasionally or never eat fish (Buzina et al. 1989; Cappon <strong>and</strong><br />

Smith 1982; Oskarsson et al. 1996; Phelps et al. 1980; Svensson et al. 1995). In addition, the consumption<br />

of certain species of fish (e.g., shark <strong>and</strong> swordfish) is likely to contribute disproportionately to the observed

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