corruption monitoring in the international donor organizations.Situation as such may be quite easily interpreted in terms of general political motivation of thewhole system of global development transfer. Naturally leaders of the both WB and IMF as well asleaders of the leading donor countries are quite well aware of fact that successful integration of 5/6 ofglobal population into the economic space which the remaining 1/6 created proceeding from its owninterests is hardly possible. They are also well aware of the fact that <strong>for</strong> many developing countries(especially African) carrying out the real market re<strong>for</strong>ms is impossible on principle. In this case all thesestrongly remind the process that in the late USSR was dubbed as “building the socialism bypassing thecapitalist development stage”.Especially <strong>for</strong> the US all this basically (directly or through international financial institutions)presents continuation of the <strong>for</strong>eign policy, albeith using different methods. Whether the money theylend is going to bring upon some real economic progress in any given country is of a relatively littleimportance. The main objective is to keep the ruling regimes in such countries loyal to the US. It’sespecially true as regards such weak countries that on principle may pose the threat to the US nationalinterest by falling into hands of various kinds of terrorists <strong>for</strong> instance. 29Besides any donor country is subjected to a strong pressure of its own civil society (especiallyNGOs), which consider that developed countries are answerable <strong>for</strong> developing world, <strong>for</strong> its povertyand underdevelopment. In addition the given model of global economic integration in general as well asdevelopment transfer in particular are so deeply ingrained into the system of global internationalrelations that their restructuring in order to increase their efficiency may turn very painful both <strong>for</strong> thedonors as well as <strong>for</strong> “consumers” of their support.Still against the rather gloomy picture of the global development transfer there are number of arather successful countries that managed to overcome dependency on the developed world and areobviously aiming at the leading positions in the modern global affairs. First of all these are so calledAsian Tigers and lately China and Malaysia. Factually the problem is that the most successfuldevelopment transfer is restricted to a rather small region of the world, while 3 of the mentionedcountries are China one or the other way (Mainland China, Taiwan and Hong-Kong), while population ofSingapore is also predominantly represented by ethnic Chinese as well as the most active ethnicminority in Malaysia.The main positive feature shared by all these countries is the social capital of the highest qualitybased on the highly motivated, diligent, disciplined labour <strong>for</strong>ce. Still they owe their success mainly tothe presence of extremely efficient, motivated governments. These governments purposefullyimplemented and continue to implement their own economic policies which in general have rather littleto do with recommendations and development models of the international donors, although they borrowhuge amounts of money from them. Although some Western economic experts characterize theireconomic policies as neo-liberal in reality we deal with various models of the state managed capitalism.On the whole these examples of successful market development show that fears of the evil Westernmoney-lenders that exploit the poor developing countries are to a large extent exaggerated. Almost anycountry with the efficient, strong, motivated government is able to put international donor organizationsinto position they should properly occupy – money lenders and assistants, not the developmentdictators. 30Thus it’s very important to understand that development transfer is primarily a two-way street – nodeveloped country and/or donor organization is able to impose any kind of positive trans<strong>for</strong>mations onany developed country if it is not ready to adopt them or (and this is more important) if the local rulingelites are not interested in such.The leading global players set terms and conditions of development transfer based on their ownpriorities and understanding of problems at hand. They are naturally eager to make the rest of the worldto adopt these terms and conditions as operating basis <strong>for</strong> their own development. On the other handthis is the direct responsibility of governments of developing countries to make sound decisions asregards models of development suitable <strong>for</strong> their countries; to review, revise and adopt the existingones or propose their own, original models. No leading global player is able to make decisions <strong>for</strong> thesegovernments; to make any country develop successfully, moreover can not do this on regional or globallevels. If country is not able to adopt and implement development policies, any outside assistance willgo <strong>for</strong> naught.29 Stuart E. Eizenstat, John Edward Porter, and Jeremy M. Weinstein, Rebuilding Weak States, Foreign Affairs,January/February 2005.30 Efficient government does not mean that it’s <strong>for</strong> instance incorrupt or transparent – as the world practice shows suchfeatures have little to do with the government efficiency. Very clean and transparent government may be quiteinefficient and vice versa.140
Of course if the developed world may be in dire need of successful economic trans<strong>for</strong>mation ofsome developed country as an isolated case, it may on principle do this, but on practice that meansimposing the direct colonial management model with all the pending consequences.Chapter 4. Consequences of Globalization. Population and Environment.4.1. Global Population Problem. This is one of the few exceptions when causative relationshipbetween globalization and its emergence is direct and obvious. The most plainly visible effect of thisproblem manifested itself in unprecedented growth of the world population in the post WW II period,known as “population explosion”. If in the period between 1900 to 1950 world population grew by about17 million people per year, this number almost tripled to 50 million during years 1950-1960. As a resultthe total world population reached 6 billion in 2000, or 2.4 times more than in 1950. Although populationgrowth rate is stearily declining since 1970, its amount is still expected to reach almost 9 billion by 2050and may stabilize afterwards.The lion’s share of population growth fell on developing countries. Today about 4/5 of the worldpopulation lives in these countries, while about 2/5 lives in the two largest – China and India. By itselfsuch population growth is nothing unprecedented. The most developed countries in the world hadpassed through the same stage of population development after beginning of industrial revolution. Stillthat time this process was caused by objective development factors, affected relatively small part of theglobal population (so called “golden billion”) and as a whole played positive role in global development.Here population explosion was caused by a sharp drop in population mortality rates against thetraditionally high birth rates. It was caused by gradual improvement of quality of life and general growthof population well-being. The same processes affected birth-rate as well but with the lag of decades atleast.In developing countries (majority of which at the beginning of explosive population growth were stillcolonies) mortality rates dropped virtually overnight – in a course of few years. It was caused byintroduction (sometimes purposeful, sometimes accidental) of the minimal innovations from thedeveloped countries – new medicaments (aspirin, penicillin), insecticides (DDT and like), elementaryunderstanding about personal hygiene. Anti-epidemic measures and vaccination was introduced tosome extent, population nutrition improved in some places too. All this was possible since all affectedcountries and territories had already been included into the system of global relations that makepossible relatively smooth and unimpeded transition of innovations. Factually they received the firstdevelopment package from the more developed world, which required the absolute minimum of ef<strong>for</strong>tsfrom the both sides involved in the process. On the other hand the next package involvingmodernization, structural trans<strong>for</strong>mation, etc., leading in the end to economic development withassociated growth of level and quality of live as well as changing population reproduction patterns(reducing fertility) was delivered much later and with various success.Population explosion affected countries which had just started their independent life, laggedcenturies behind their <strong>for</strong>mer parent states by levels of development. Actually one may dub this processpopulation shock instead of explosion. Population growth did not result from their socio-economicdevelopment,as it happened in the more developed world, they did not need, did not plan and could notcontrol it. Since at least at the initial stage this process was factually mechanical its dependence on thetype of civilization of any given country, culture of population, religion, etc. was minimal. 31 Evenefficiency and type of governance played very little role in this case – relatively well and poorlymanaged countries had found themselves in the same boat.Demographic pressure did not allow the majority of affected countries to stand on their own feet,contributed significantly to drop in the population level of life as compared with the colonial period (suchdrop often up to 20% was registered in 100 countries), pushed billions into poverty and starvation.Today population growth process in developing countries has been reversed and is generallyfollowing trends of the more developed world – i.e. people are marrying later and have fewer children.Average fertility rate here is about 2.8 (versus 6.2 in 1960-s), while in 20 countries births do not exceedmortality. UN claim that this reversal resulted from decades’ long family planning policies it pursued in31 This process was dubbed minimal because it happened primarily at the expense of a sharp drop of mortality rates,which did not depent upon a social behaviour of population. This may be justified <strong>for</strong> instance by the fact thatabsolutely the same “development scenario” was implemented in the isolated Soviet Central Asia as in the rest of theworld.141
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