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Territorial Review Copenhagen - Region Hovedstaden

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155<br />

might be regarded as an emerging sixth finger. It is estimated that the<br />

population of the Øresund <strong>Region</strong> will grow by approximately 200 000 in 20<br />

years. Accompanying the population increase and possible economic<br />

integration, it is also estimated that car traffic across the bridge will increase<br />

from an average of 18 500 vehicles per day in 2007 to 49 000 vehicles per<br />

day in 2025 and that the number of daily commuters across Øresund will<br />

increase from 17 600 individuals per day in 2007 to approximately 56 000 in<br />

2025. 12 Commuting will, according to these expectations, account for half of<br />

all passenger car traffic on the bridge in 2015. The current situation, with<br />

higher wages in <strong>Copenhagen</strong> and lower housing/living costs in Skåne, will<br />

lead to the emergence of one functional area sooner or later. Rush-hour<br />

traffic will be the most urgent challenge. The bridge itself is likely to<br />

support the increase of passengers for the coming decade, while the roads<br />

and rail in <strong>Copenhagen</strong> might run into difficulties dealing with the<br />

additional traffic, for example in the connection with the city centre and<br />

with the airport, as the arrangement of the Øresund Link required each<br />

country to take independent responsibility for domestic access to the link.<br />

The central and local government could profit from taking some measures to<br />

counter the bottleneck.<br />

To face the challenges, the Capital <strong>Region</strong>‘s Development Plan, in<br />

accordance with the Finger Plan, promotes expansion of public transport in<br />

densely populated areas and on the large approach roads. This is a step in<br />

the right direction, but a solution from supply side, through increase of<br />

transportation capacity, should be linked with the demand side, through land<br />

use planning that influences transportation needs. Transportation planning<br />

should be clearly co-ordinated with land use plans such as the Finger Plan.<br />

Since transportation infrastructure planning falls under the jurisdiction of<br />

Ministry of Transport, while spatial planning is under the Ministry of<br />

Environment, both ministries will need to co-ordinate to achieve effective<br />

and efficient regional structures.<br />

…requires more integrated transport planning<br />

At the national level, it is not clear how to prioritise infrastructure<br />

development among many transportation mode and regions. National<br />

Transport Agreements intend to prioritise investments in road and rail<br />

infrastructure. Agreements in 2003 and 2005 focused on congestion relief<br />

and international links. The 2006 agreement focused on restoration of the<br />

rail network and new road construction. For the coming government<br />

investment plans, the national government established the Infrastructure<br />

Commission, whose task is to assess key challenges and potentials towards<br />

2030, present strategic options and priorities, give advice on public-private<br />

partnerships (PPPs), environmentally friendly transportation and evaluate<br />

organisation for physical planning. The Commission issued a report in 2008,

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