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Territorial Review Copenhagen - Region Hovedstaden

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257<br />

indicators such as GDP per capita. However, this correlation may merely<br />

reflect historical agglomeration processes rather than causal relationships<br />

effective today. Attempts to explain changes in economic indicators, i.e.<br />

economic growth and decline, by transport investment or differences in<br />

accessibility has been much less successful. In countries with an already<br />

highly developed transport infrastructure, accessibility tends to become<br />

ubiquitous and further infrastructure improvements may bring only marginal<br />

benefits. Transport improvements have strong impacts on regional<br />

development only when they result in removing a bottleneck.<br />

What really matters to private firms are the (generalised) transport costs<br />

they will face. Infrastructure is thus only important as a means to achieve<br />

this. Improved infrastructure that creates more capacity, higher speeds,<br />

better quality and more reliable transport, will be reflected in firms‘ total<br />

costs, not just in terms of the direct costs of transport, but also the indirect<br />

costs of storage and inventories, the number of depots, etc.<br />

Any public finance required for infrastructure puts an additional fiscal<br />

burden on the regional economy that could retard economic development.<br />

Although evidence from macroeconomic models has suggested that<br />

productivity and growth enhancing effects of infrastructure tend to outweigh<br />

the crowding effects of finance, at a regional level this is more complex.<br />

Within a region, the impacts of construction have to be taken more carefully<br />

into account, since there are likely to be larger leakages and smaller local<br />

multiplier effects. The smaller a region, the greater the relative net benefit to<br />

non-residents, since there will be more non-resident users and a smaller<br />

proportion of users will bear the costs, unless the full cost is charged to users<br />

(Vickerman et al., 1999).<br />

Connectivity refers to the ability of local firms to develop profitable<br />

market relationships with firms or consumers in other regions. A high level<br />

of connectivity provides for strong inter-regional linkages with external<br />

firms and customers, whereas a lack of connectivity due to insufficient<br />

transportation infrastructure implies a lack of choice, innovation and<br />

intellectual opportunities for the development of such geographical linkages.<br />

Capacity and network changes within the airline system can play a crucial<br />

role in changing the relative attractiveness of a region for a variety of<br />

industrial sectors, by changing the time taken for face-to-face transactions to<br />

be completed across large spatial distances. Indeed, evidence from the<br />

United States suggests that a one-day round trip is the crucial spatial extent<br />

for many types of information exchanges within much of the semiconductor<br />

industry (Arita and McCann, 2000).<br />

As an input factor of production, the value of transportation<br />

infrastructure can vary significantly from sector to sector and firm to firm.

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