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Territorial Review Copenhagen - Region Hovedstaden

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256<br />

crime corresponds to a 1% decline in city population. They find that almost<br />

all of the crime-related population decline is attributable to increased outmigration<br />

rather than a decrease in new arrivals. Migration decisions of<br />

highly educated households and those with children are particularly<br />

responsive to changes in crime. Causality appears to run from rising crime<br />

rates to city depopulation.<br />

Schwartz et al. (2003) estimate an elasticity of property value with<br />

respect to violent crime rate of 0.15. They find that falling crime rates are<br />

responsible for about one-third of the post-1994 boom in property values.<br />

Their findings indicate that the fall in violent crime since 1998 has raised<br />

property values by about 8%, with most of this effect accruing from 1994<br />

and later. The fall in violent crime accounted for about one-third of the total<br />

real price appreciation during the 1994 to 1998 period. This fall was valued<br />

at more than USD 15 000 per household, considering the sales-weighted<br />

average of the price per housing unit in New York City. Although crime<br />

rates are important, declining crime rates can only explain a modest amount<br />

of the increased demand for living in New York City and other big cities<br />

(Glaeser and Gottlieb, 2006).<br />

Kahn (2001) has tested the relative importance of air quality as an urban<br />

amenity using data from Los Angeles County, an area where dramatic<br />

improvements in smog have been achieved. While high-ozone areas feature<br />

lower rents, the ozone‘s capitalisation suggests that it is not a key urban<br />

disamenity: to purchase a 10-day per year reduction in exposure to high<br />

ozone levels required an extra payment of 3%.<br />

Infrastructure<br />

Public infrastructure can play an important complementary role in the<br />

productivity of the regional private sector. Evidence from the United States<br />

suggests that the heavy infrastructure investment in the country during the<br />

1950s and 1960s was a key factor in the strong economic performance<br />

during that period. While new regional infrastructure may encourage<br />

development in under-developed regions, its construction alone will not be<br />

enough to bring about any desired economic changes. In many situations,<br />

the provision of regional infrastructure can act as a catalyst for the<br />

generation of local agglomeration economies. The nature of infrastructure<br />

tends to mean that there are capacity limits beyond which negative<br />

externalities start to dominate.<br />

The impact that variations in the provision of transport infrastructure<br />

have on regional development has been difficult to verify empirically. There<br />

seems to be a clear positive correlation between transport infrastructure<br />

endowment or inter-regional accessibility and the levels of economic

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