A Case Study in NASA-DoD - The Black Vault
A Case Study in NASA-DoD - The Black Vault
A Case Study in NASA-DoD - The Black Vault
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decrease any total program cost advantage that the option might have.<br />
To illustrate this, three to four additional MMS <strong>in</strong> the upgraded AEM/MMS<br />
option would elim<strong>in</strong>ate the difference <strong>in</strong> program cost between the pure<br />
L-AEM option and the upgraded AEM/MHS option for the nom<strong>in</strong>al case.<br />
In addition, one of the current Air Force requirements of new<br />
spacetraft is to m<strong>in</strong>imize s<strong>in</strong>gle-po<strong>in</strong>t failure modes <strong>in</strong> the spacecraft<br />
design. As <strong>in</strong>dicated <strong>in</strong> Appendix I, that was one of the specifications<br />
for the L-AEM design and has been accounted for <strong>in</strong> its recurr<strong>in</strong>g cost.<br />
To illustrate the effect on program cost of <strong>in</strong>creas<strong>in</strong>g AEM redundancy<br />
so that the L-AEM and the upgraded AEM options will be more comparable,<br />
an excursion was made <strong>in</strong> which it was assumed that whenever an AEM or<br />
upgraded AEM is <strong>in</strong>cluded <strong>in</strong> an option, two spacecraft would be flown<br />
<strong>in</strong> the same shuttle. <strong>The</strong> results are shown <strong>in</strong> Table 15. It can be seen<br />
that for the case of 114 payloads and 6 payloads per spacecraft, several<br />
L-AEM options are with<strong>in</strong> the lower 10 percent cost category; for a mission<br />
model with 228 payloads, the L-AEM options are clearly preferred<br />
over the upgraded AEM/MMS option.<br />
Consider<strong>in</strong>g that the program cost advantage <strong>in</strong>dicated for the upgraded<br />
AEM/MMS option over the L-AEM option could be lost <strong>in</strong> either of<br />
the two ways mentioned above, i.e., by growth <strong>in</strong> the power and/or weight<br />
requirements of the Air Force Space Test Program mission model, or by<br />
spacecraft design requirement for m<strong>in</strong>imiz<strong>in</strong>g s<strong>in</strong>gle-po<strong>in</strong>t failure modes,<br />
it is conctuded that the L-AEM spacecraft, or some very simiZar design,<br />
would provide a basis for m<strong>in</strong>imiz<strong>in</strong>g the Air Force Space Test Progran<br />
costs. <strong>The</strong> L-AEM could be used <strong>in</strong>dividually or <strong>in</strong> comb<strong>in</strong>ation with the<br />
AEM and/or the MMS. This conclusion is re<strong>in</strong>forced by the analysis of<br />
a variety of procurement options that considered the uncerta<strong>in</strong>ties <strong>in</strong><br />
the spacecraft costs and designs, the Air Force Space Test Program<br />
mission model, and the shuttle cost and tariff schedule.<br />
<strong>The</strong> procurement results for the nom<strong>in</strong>al case that <strong>in</strong>clude the<br />
L-AEM are shown <strong>in</strong> Table 16.<br />
A comparison of these options <strong>in</strong>dicates<br />
This idea was suggested by Boe<strong>in</strong>g as a way of achiev<strong>in</strong>g the desired<br />
level of redundancy without redesign<strong>in</strong>g the entire spacecraft.<br />
Physically it is possible to have two AEM spacecraft side by side<br />
with<strong>in</strong> the envelope of the L-AEM.