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A Case Study in NASA-DoD - The Black Vault

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-51-<br />

1980-1990 time period are divided <strong>in</strong>to three payload groups (Table 4).<br />

<strong>The</strong> pr<strong>in</strong>cipal dist<strong>in</strong>guish<strong>in</strong>g feature of each group is the spacecraft<br />

requirements. For example, payloads <strong>in</strong> groups I and III all require<br />

a spacecraft with nom<strong>in</strong>al capability and either three-axis or sp<strong>in</strong><br />

stabilization. We have taken this to mean that these missions could<br />

be flown on the AEM, STPSS-S, STPSS-LC, L-AEM-S, or L-AEM-BL spacecraft.<br />

Those payloads <strong>in</strong> group II require a spacecraft with a high<br />

capability and three-axis stability. This requirement can only be met<br />

by the STPSS-P, L-AEM-P, or MIS.<br />

Of the estimated twenty flights to be flown between 1980 and 1990,<br />

the Work Statement <strong>in</strong>dicated that about 75 percent (15 flights) would<br />

be <strong>in</strong> payload group I, 10 percent (2 flights) <strong>in</strong> payload group III,<br />

and 15 percent (3 flights) <strong>in</strong> payload group II. Us<strong>in</strong>g the estimated<br />

division between large (over 150 lb) and small payloads given <strong>in</strong> the<br />

Work Statement for each of the payload groups, we can presume a total<br />

of 114 payloads for the nom<strong>in</strong>al case or about 6 payloads per spacecraft.<br />

As mentioned previously, Ref. 26 provided a list<strong>in</strong>g of only 52<br />

Space Test Program payloads that were to be considered as representative<br />

of those that would be flown between 1980 and 1990. <strong>The</strong>se payloads<br />

were analyzed <strong>in</strong> terms of their spacecraft requirements for accuracy,<br />

stabilization, and weight. <strong>The</strong> results of that analysis are shown on<br />

the right-hand side of Table 4 to allow direct comparison with the<br />

guidance given <strong>in</strong> the Work Statement for this study.<br />

We found that the overall division of payloads between group II<br />

and groups I and III was a little different from that suggested by<br />

the Work Statement, i.e., only 11 percent, rather than 15 percent, of<br />

the payloads fell <strong>in</strong>to payload group II. We also found that the percentage<br />

of small payloads <strong>in</strong> groups I and III was larger, i.e., 90<br />

percent, rather than 85 percent. Appropriate adjustments for these<br />

relatively m<strong>in</strong>or mismatches caused an <strong>in</strong>crease <strong>in</strong> the total number of<br />

Space Test Program payloads from 114 to 151, which is equivalent to<br />

For this reason, group II is dist<strong>in</strong>guished from groups I and<br />

III <strong>in</strong> the discussion that follows.

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