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A Case Study in NASA-DoD - The Black Vault

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-60-<br />

Cost-quantity effects <strong>in</strong> spacecraft depend more on the size of<br />

each <strong>in</strong>dividual procurement than on the cumulative quantity procured.<br />

A block buy of six may reduce total cost by 20 percent, but a buy of<br />

six spacecraft one at a time may produce no cost reduction. S<strong>in</strong>ce the<br />

manner of procurement could not be specified <strong>in</strong> this study, cost reduction<br />

was related to annual production rate accord<strong>in</strong>g to the follow<strong>in</strong>g<br />

empirically derived schedule:<br />

Annual<br />

Production Cost (%)<br />

1 100<br />

2 90<br />

3 87<br />

4 85<br />

In estimat<strong>in</strong>g spacecraft costs it was further assumed that:<br />

1. Procurement of the AEM by the Space Test Program Office<br />

beg<strong>in</strong>s at Unit 9. <strong>The</strong> first eight units will be procured<br />

by <strong>NASA</strong> before 1980.<br />

2. Procurement of the MMS by the Space Test Program Office<br />

beg<strong>in</strong>s at Unit 5. <strong>The</strong> first four units will be procured<br />

by other agencies before 1980.<br />

3. <strong>NASA</strong> procures two MMS per year dur<strong>in</strong>g the decade considered.<br />

<strong>The</strong> Air Force buy is <strong>in</strong>cremental to <strong>NASA</strong> procurement.<br />

4. <strong>The</strong> Air Force procures MMS for SIRE, which means that an<br />

Air Force-compatible communication and data handl<strong>in</strong>g subsystem<br />

would be developed for MMS and would be available<br />

to the Space Test Program Office for the missions discussed<br />

<strong>in</strong> this study at no additional cost.<br />

A block buy usually means accept<strong>in</strong>g delivery from the contractor<br />

of all the spacecraft at one time or over a short period of time. <strong>The</strong><br />

alternative is to spread the delivery uniformly over a much longer time<br />

period.

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